UFC Fight Night Chiesa vs Lee Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Michael Chiesa (33.73%) vs Kevin Lee (66.27%)

33.73%	Overall	66.27%
10.11%	KO/TKO	23.19%
13.88%	Sub	20.78%
9.74%	Decision	22.30%

Plays:

2.95% on Lee at -135

Tim Boetsch (34.44%) vs Johny Hendricks (65.56%)

34.44%	Overall	65.56%
15.49%	KO/TKO	19.59%
5.26%	Sub	5.64%
13.70%	Decision	40.33%

Plays:

None

Tim Means (62.67%) vs Alex Garcia (37.33%)

62.67%	Overall	37.33%
15.31%	KO/TKO	4.12%
6.84%	Sub	1.81%
40.53%	Decision	31.40%

Plays:

16.56% on Fight GTD at +225

BJ Penn (39.22%) vs Dennis Siver (60.78%)

39.22%	Overall	60.78%
18.73%	KO/TKO	32.53%
3.08%	Sub	2.82%
17.41%	Decision	25.43%

Plays:

1.21% on Siver by KO at +295

Clay Guida (28.97%) vs Erik Koch (71.03%)

28.97%	Overall	71.03%
11.77%	KO/TKO	36.93%
3.68%	Sub	19.88%
13.53%	Decision	14.22%

Plays:

9.06% on Fight ITD at +100

Carla Esparza (47.48%) vs Maryna Moroz (52.52%)

47.48%	Overall	52.52%
2.31%	KO/TKO	8.04%
6.36%	Sub	8.90%
38.82%	Decision	35.58%

Plays:

4.82% on Moroz at +210

Tony Martin (57.24%) vs Johnny Case (42.76%)

57.24%	Overall	42.76%
12.67%	KO/TKO	8.94%
19.44%	Sub	5.84%
25.13%	Decision	27.98%

Plays:

None