Saturday, August 5, 2017

UFC Fight Night Pettis vs Moreno Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Sergio Pettis (42.38%) vs Brandon Moreno (57.62%)

 42.38%
Overall
57.62% 
 4.82%
KO
7.32% 
 7.33%
Sub
14.94% 
 30.23%
Decision
35.36% 

Plays:
19.32% on Fight GTD at +120

Sam Alvey (66.67%) vs Rashad Evans (33.33%)

 66.67%
Overall
33.33% 
 40.24%
KO
12.44% 
 5.79%
Sub
2.09% 
 20.64%
Decision
18.80% 

Plays:
13.05% on Alvey at -115

Brad Scott (38.82%) vs Jack Hermansson (61.18%)

 38.82%
Overall
61.18% 
 11.61%
KO
14.87% 
 6.46%
Sub
5.50% 
 20.75%
Decision
40.81% 

Plays:
3.54% on Scott at +210
Dustin Ortiz (64.85%) vs Hector Sandoval (35.15%)

 64.85%
Overall
35.15% 
 12.85%
KO
9.21% 
 7.39%
Sub
5.63% 
 44.62%
Decision
20.31% 

Plays:
1.78% on Ortiz ITD at +527

Henry Briones (43.20%) vs Rani Yayha (56.80%)

 43.20%
Overall
56.80% 
 8.29%
KO
8.62% 
 5.25%
Sub
11.76% 
 29.66%
Decision
36.43% 

Plays:
5.73% on Briones at +200