Friday, June 22, 2018

UFC Fight Night Cerrone vs Edwards Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Donald Cerrone (37.74%) vs Leon Edwards (62.26%)

 37.74%
Overall
62.26% 
 15.09%
KO/TKO
31.68% 
 11.74%
Sub
1.20% 
 10.91%
Decision
29.38% 


Plays:
4.23% on Cerrone at +195

Ovince Saint Preux (33.40%) vs Tyson Pedro (66.60%)

 33.40%
Overall
66.60% 
 6.01%
KO/TKO
19.51% 
 12.41%
Sub
23.21% 
 14.98%
Decision
23.88% 


Plays:
15.20% on Pedro at -145

Shinsho Anzai (25.30%) vs Jake Matthews (74.70%)

 25.30%
Overall
74.70% 
 7.26%
KO/TKO
15.61% 
 3.04%
Sub
38.66% 
 14.99%
Decision
20.43% 


Plays:
6.53% on Anzai at +450

Jenel Lausa (33.10%) vs Ulka Sasaki (66.90%)

 33.10%
Overall
66.90% 
 8.22%
KO/TKO
5.34% 
 0.63%
Sub
48.32% 
 24.25%
Decision
13.24% 


Plays:
1.89% on Lausa at +220

Friday, June 8, 2018

UFC 225 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Robert Whittaker (84.78%) vs Yoel Romero (15.22%)

 84.78%
Overall
15.22% 
 46.12%
KO
14.45% 
 0.09%
Sub
0.02% 
 38.57%
Decision
0.75% 


Plays:
11.30% on Whittaker at -250

Rafael Dos Anjos (37.98%) vs Colby Covington (62.02%)

 37.98%
Overall
62.02% 
 17.27% 
KO
9.87% 
 12.21%
Sub
1.54% 
 8.49%
Decision
50.60%


Plays:
1.55% on Covington at -135

Alistair Overeem (41.80%) vs Curtis Blaydes (58.20%)

 41.80%
Overall
58.20% 
 15.79%
KO
11.02% 
 5.42%
Sub
0.10% 
 20.59%
Decision
47.08% 


Plays:
0.96% on Overeem at +167

Claudia Gadelha (86.20%) vs Carla Esparza (13.80%)

 86.20%
Overall
13.80% 
 8.95%
KO
4.10% 
 15.63%
Sub
0.17% 
 61.61%
Decision
9.52% 


Plays:
5.60% on Gadelha at -405

Ricardo Lamas (24.70%) vs Mirsad Bektic (75.30%)

 24.70%
Overall
75.30% 
 9.00%
KO
30.07% 
 2.78%
Sub
0.56% 
 12.93%
Decision
44.67% 


Plays:
None

Rashad Evans (26.62%) vs Anthony Smith (73.38%)

 26.62%
Overall
73.38% 
 7.67%
KO
18.87% 
 0.15%
Sub
7.78% 
 18.80%
Decision
46.73% 


Plays:
None

Joseph Benavidez (77.66%) vs Sergio Pettis (22.34%)

 77.66%
Overall
22.34% 
 5.15%
KO
5.88% 
 7.04%
Sub
0.40% 
 65.47%
Decision
16.06% 


Plays:
6.34% on Benavidez at -200

Clay Guida (27.10%) vs Charles Oliveira (72.90%)

 27.10%
Overall
72.90% 
 9.67%
KO
29.80% 
 1.45%
Sub
33.56% 
 15.97%
Decision
9.53% 


Plays:
7.78% on Oliveira at -130