UFC Fight Night Poirier vs Pettis Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
*Note: Start of new prop bet model*

Dustin Poirier (56.76%) vs Anthony Pettis (43.24%)

56.76%	Overall	43.24%
22.10%	KO	10.50%
9.52%	Sub	20.22%
25.14%	Decision	12.52%

Plays:

.5.70% on Poirier at -105

Matt Brown (67.33%) vs Diego Sanchez (32.67%)

67.33%	Overall	32.67%
39.20%	KO	10.15%
0.97%	Sub	2.92%
27.17%	Decision	19.59%

Plays:
5.47% on Sanchez at +310

Nate Marquardt (31.19%) vs Cezar Ferreira (68.81%)

31.19%	Overall	68.81%
19.86%	KO	25.56%
0.92%	Sub	8.48%
10.40%	Decision	34.78%

Plays:

3.62% on Marquardt by KO/TKO at +650

Raphael Assuncao (66.40%) vs Matthew Lopez (33.60%)

66.40%	Overall	33.60%
12.28%	KO	18.10%
6.16%	Sub	3.16%
47.96%	Decision	12.34%

Plays:

5.97% on Lopez at +305

Joe Lauzon (50.30%) vs Clay Guida (49.70%)

50.30%	Overall	49.70%
17.33%	KO	9.82%
9.99%	Sub	1.09%
22.98%	Decision	38.79%

Plays:

1.17% on Lauzon by KO/TKO at +560

Angela Hill (69.01%) vs Nina Ansaroff (30.99%)

69.01%	Overall	30.99%
22.64%	KO	9.14%
0.40%	Sub	3.87%
45.97%	Decision	17.97%

Plays:

5.88% on Hill at -185

Court McGee (28.30%) vs Sean Strickland (71.70%)

28.30%	Overall	71.70%
10.74%	KO	8.36%
3.37%	Sub	3.04%
14.19%	Decision	60.30%

Plays:

10.88% on Fight GTD at -215