Tuesday, September 19, 2017

UFC Fight Night Saint Preux vs Okami Fight Projections


*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Ovince Saint Preux (82.60%) vs Yushin Okami (17.40%)

 82.60%
Overall
17.40% 
43.89% 
KO
9.83% 
11.54%
Sub
1.44% 
27.17%
Decision
6.14% 

Plays:
1.44% on Saint Preux by Dec at +422
Claudia Gadelha (54.76%) vs Jessica Andrade (45.24%)

 54.76%
Overall
45.24% 
16.95%
KO
17.11% 
11.29%
Sub
11.97% 
26.51%
Decision
16.17% 

Plays:
3.56% on Andrade at +230

Takanori Gomi (20.84%) vs Dong Hyun Kim (79.16%)

 20.84%
Overall
79.16% 
 5.33%
KO
15.12% 
 3.02%
Sub
5.45% 
 12.49%
Decision
58.58% 

Plays:
23.05% on Fight GTD at +400

Mizuto Hirota (32.34%) vs Charles Rosa (67.66%)

 32.34%
Overall
67.66% 
 9.74%
KO
25.11% 
 4.70%
Sub
11.44% 
 17.90%
Decision
31.11% 

Plays:
2.38% on Rosa ITD at +300

Keita Nakamura (30.93%) vs Alex Morono (69.07%)

 30.93%
Overall
69.07% 
 6.31%
KO
26.70% 
 4.41%
Sub
7.36% 
 20.21%
Decision
35.01% 

Plays:
5.30% on Morono at -130

Jussier Formiga (66.34%) vs Ulka Sasaki (33.66%)

 66.34%
Overall
33.66% 
 18.54%
KO
8.27% 
 8.69%
Sub
7.96% 
 39.11%
Decision
17.43% 

Plays:
2.35% on Sasaki at +360

Friday, September 15, 2017

UFC Fight Night Rockhold vs Branch Fight Projections


*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Luke Rockhold (81.79%) vs David Branch (18.21%)

 81.79%
Overall
18.21% 
 21.08%
KO
2.03% 
 11.27%
Sub
0.63% 
 49.44%
Decision
15.55% 

Plays:
19.13% on Fight GTD at +180

Hector Lombard (28.82%) vs Anthony Smith (71.18%)

 28.82%
Overall
71.18% 
 10.37%
KO
39.61% 
 5.30%
Sub
12.02% 
 13.15%
Decision
19.55% 

Plays:
11.64% on Smith at -130

Tony Martin (50.25%) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier (49.75%)

 50.25%
Overall
49.75% 
 16.75%
KO
12.95% 
 13.56%
Sub
9.96% 
 19.94%
Decision
26.83% 

Plays:
3.49% on Martin ITD at +408

Krzysztof Jotko (60.23%) vs Uriah Hall (39.77%)

 60.23%
Overall
39.77% 
 26.72%
KO
14.73% 
 5.00%
Sub
6.28% 
 28.52%
Decision
18.75% 

Plays:
5.19% on Jotko by KO/TKO at +890

Jason Saggo (40.73%) vs Gilbert Burns (59.27%)

 40.73%
Overall
59.27% 
 2.38%
KO
6.32% 
 3.20%
Sub
9.12%
 35.15%
Decision
43.83%

Plays:
2.65% on Burn by Dec at +168

Thursday, September 7, 2017

UFC 215 Fight Projections


*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*

*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*


Amanda Nunes (48.25%) vs Valentina Shevchenko (51.75%)

 48.25%
Overall
51.75% 
 17.21%
KO
18.98% 
 14.55%
Sub
6.84% 
 16.49%
Decision
25.93% 

Plays:
7.16% on Fight GTD at +185

Neil Magny (40.33%) vs Rafael Dos Anjos (59.67%)

 41.74%
Overall
58.26% 
 9.84%
KO
17.54% 
 4.38%
Sub
7.05% 
 26.11%
Decision
35.08% 

Plays:
3.74% on Magny at +175

Jeremy Stephens (49.18%) vs Gilbert Melendez (50.82%)

 49.18%
Overall
50.82% 
 17.25%
KO
14.69% 
 4.60%
Sub
3.71% 
 27.34%
Decision
32.42% 

Plays:
3.41% on Fight DGTD at +173

Henry Cejudo (73.93%) vs Wilson Reis (26.07%)

 73.93%
Overall
26.07% 
 34.40%
KO
6.47% 
 5.27%
Sub
3.27% 
 34.26%
Decision
16.34% 

Plays:
14.56% on Cejudo by KO at +474

Kajan Johnson (20.55%) vs Adriano Martin (79.45%)


 20.55%
Overall
79.45% 
 8.45%
KO
38.96% 
 1.41%
Sub
5.35% 
 10.69%
Decision
35.14% 

Plays:
6.05% on Fight GTD at +150

Friday, September 1, 2017

UFC Fight Night Struve vs Volkov Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Leon Edwards (55.54%) vs Bryan Barberena (44.46%)

 55.54%
Overall
44.46% 
 9.77%
KO
7.05% 
 8.53%
Sub
9.72% 
 37.25%
Decision
27.68% 

Plays:
14.07% on Barberena at +225

Darren Till (66.35%) vs Bojan Velickovic (33.65%)

 66.35%
Overall
33.65% 
 12.18%
KO
6.29% 
 8.57%
Sub
5.75% 
 45.60%
Decision
21.60% 

Plays:
12.53% on Fight GTD at -150

Thibault Gouti (42.54%) vs Andrew Holbrook (57.46%)

 42.54%
Overall
57.46% 
 5.30%
KO
11.99% 
 9.15%
Sub
20.95% 
 28.09%
Decision
24.52% 

Plays:
8.73% on Gouti by Dec at +485