Friday, September 15, 2017

UFC Fight Night Rockhold vs Branch Fight Projections


*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Luke Rockhold (81.79%) vs David Branch (18.21%)

 81.79%
Overall
18.21% 
 21.08%
KO
2.03% 
 11.27%
Sub
0.63% 
 49.44%
Decision
15.55% 

Plays:
19.13% on Fight GTD at +180

Hector Lombard (28.82%) vs Anthony Smith (71.18%)

 28.82%
Overall
71.18% 
 10.37%
KO
39.61% 
 5.30%
Sub
12.02% 
 13.15%
Decision
19.55% 

Plays:
11.64% on Smith at -130

Tony Martin (50.25%) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier (49.75%)

 50.25%
Overall
49.75% 
 16.75%
KO
12.95% 
 13.56%
Sub
9.96% 
 19.94%
Decision
26.83% 

Plays:
3.49% on Martin ITD at +408

Krzysztof Jotko (60.23%) vs Uriah Hall (39.77%)

 60.23%
Overall
39.77% 
 26.72%
KO
14.73% 
 5.00%
Sub
6.28% 
 28.52%
Decision
18.75% 

Plays:
5.19% on Jotko by KO/TKO at +890

Jason Saggo (40.73%) vs Gilbert Burns (59.27%)

 40.73%
Overall
59.27% 
 2.38%
KO
6.32% 
 3.20%
Sub
9.12%
 35.15%
Decision
43.83%

Plays:
2.65% on Burn by Dec at +168

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