UFC 214 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Daniel Cormier (27.53%) vs Jon Jones (72.47%)

27.53%	Overall	72.47%
14.04%	KO	45.79%
2.83%	Sub	4.22%
10.66%	Dec	22.46%

Plays:

13.18% on Jones ITD at +289

Tyron Woodley (66.71%) vs Demian Maia (33.29%)

66.71%	Overall	33.29%
43.28%	KO	18.58%
3.85%	Sub	3.11%
19.59%	Dec	11.59%

Plays:

None

Robbie Lawler (55.07%) vs Donald Cerrone (44.93%) 

55.07%	Overall	44.93%
22.98%	KO	20.91%
3.70%	Sub	8.09%
28.39%	Dec	15.93%

Plays:

1.45% on Cerrone by KO/TKO at +500

Ricardo Lamas (33.60%) vs Jason Knight (66.40%)

33.60%	Overall	66.40%
5.91%	KO	18.22%
7.87%	Sub	25.59%
19.82%	Dec	22.59%

Plays:

10.46% on Knight at -115

Aljamain Sterling (48.04%) vs Renan Barao (51.96%)

48.04%	Overall	51.96%
16.47%	KO	15.78%
6.46%	Sub	8.89%
25.12%	Dec	27.28%

Plays:

6.79% on Fight DGTD at +190

Renato Moicano (55.38%) vs Brian Ortega (44.62%)

55.38%	Overall	44.62%
8.20%	KO	9.48%
5.23%	Sub	12.71%
41.95%	Dec	22.43%

Plays:

2.65% on Ortega at +155

Josh Burkman (22.78%) vs Drew Dober (77.22%)

22.78%	Overall	77.22%
7.22%	KO	40.06%
3.80%	Sub	7.56%
11.76%	Dec	29.60%

Plays:

6.46% on Fight DGTD +105

UFC on Fox 25 Weidman vs Gastelum Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Chris Weidman (33.08%) vs Kelvin Gastelum (66.92%)

33.08%	Overall	66.92%
6.25%	KO	26.09%
7.88%	Sub	6.96%
18.94%	Decision	33.88%

Plays:

7.74% on Gastelum at -160

Dennis Bermudez (63.82%) vs Darren Elkins (36.18%)

63.82%	Overall	36.18%
23.05%	KO	14.04%
11.36%	Sub	8.43%
29.41%	Decision	13.71%

Plays:

4.61% on under 2 1/2 rounds at +225

Patrick Cummins (32.03%) vs Gian Villante (67.97%)

32.03%	Overall	67.97%
9.59%	KO	45.09%
2.99%	Sub	5.91%
19.45%	Decision	16.97%

Plays:

4.41% on Villante by KO at +150

Jimmie Rivera (49.94%) vs Thomas Almeida (50.06%)

49.94%	Overall	50.06%
14.81%	KO	18.75%
5.48%	Sub	5.15%
29.65%	Decision	26.17%

Plays:

13.05% on Almeida at +175

Ryan LaFlare (55.50%) vs Alex Oliveira (44.50%) 

55.50%	Overall	44.50%
19.74%	KO	12.01%
6.78%	Sub	10.76%
28.97%	Decision	21.73%

Plays:

2.21% on under 2 1/2 rounds at +220

Chris Wade (63.53%) vs Frankie Perez (36.47%)

63.53%	Overall	36.47%
9.54%	KO	7.97%
15.93%	Sub	6.58%
38.06%	Decision	21.93%

Plays:

6.22% on Perez at +255

UFC Fight Night Nelson vs Ponzinibbio Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Gunnar Nelson (54.42%) vs Santiago Ponzinibbio (45.58%)

54.42%	Overall	45.58%
13.22%	KO	12.82%
13.40%	Sub	5.11%
27.80%	Decision	27.65%

Plays:
9.22% on Ponzinibbio at +160

13.39% on Fight GTD at +185 (Projected odds lowered in order to reduce dependence on single bet)

Stevie Ray (64.54%) vs Paul Felder (35.46%)

64.54%	Overall	35.46%
19.75%	KO	6.95%
9.25%	Sub	6.80%
35.53%	Decision	21.71%

Plays:
3.83% on Ray by KO/TKO at +550

UFC TUF 25 Finale Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Elias Theodorou (48.35%) vs Brad Tavares (51.65%)

48.35%	Overall	51.65%
11.17%	KO/TKO	9.84%
6.80%	Sub	6.88%
30.38%	Decision	34.93%

Plays:

None

Ed Herman (38.20%) vs CB Dollaway (61.80%)

38.20%	Overall	61.80%
20.90%	KO/TKO	41.07%
9.43%	Sub	6.83%
7.87%	Decision	13.91%

Plays:
22.34% on Fight DGTD at -160

Gray Maynard (13.13%) vs Teruto Ishihara (86.87%)

13.13%	Overall	86.87%
2.09%	KO/TKO	24.69%
1.15%	Sub	5.73%
9.89%	Decision	56.44%

Plays:
22.22% on Ishihara by Dec at +330

Tecia Torres (80.69%) vs Juliana Lima (19.31%)

80.69%	Overall	19.31%
17.50%	KO/TKO	2.07%
3.51%	Sub	1.36%
59.68%	Decision	15.89%

Plays:
2.97% on Torres at -370