UFC 213 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Amanda Nunes (55.53%) vs Valentina Shevchenko (44.47%)

55.53%	Overall	44.47%
19.80%	KO/TKO	16.31%
16.75%	Sub	5.88%
18.98%	Decision	22.28%

Plays:

1.53% on Fight GTD at +170

Yoel Romero (26.75%) vs Robert Whittaker (73.25%)

26.75%	Overall	73.25%
9.34%	KO/TKO	43.96%
2.40%	Sub	3.47%
15.01%	Decision	25.82%

Plays:
10.48% on Whittaker at -130

Daniel Omielanczuk (9.22%) vs Curtis Blaydes (90.78%)

9.22%	Overall	90.78%
1.30%	KO/TKO	2.29%
2.89%	Sub	2.61%
5.03%	Decision	85.88%

Plays:

17.19*** on Fight GTD at +155 (Projected odds lowered in order to reduce dependence on single bet)

Fabricio Werdum (46.60%) vs Alistair Overeem (53.40%)

46.60%	Overall	53.40%
17.27%	KO/TKO	22.01%
4.87%	Sub	3.93%
24.47%	Decision	27.47%

Plays:
None

Anthony Pettis (65.94%) vs Jim Miller (34.06%)

65.94%	Overall	34.06%
16.67%	KO/TKO	8.58%
10.57%	Sub	7.85%
38.70%	Decision	17.64%

Plays:
None

Travis Browne (69.70%) vs Aleksei Oleinik (30.30%)

69.70%	Overall	30.30%
43.01%	KO/TKO	8.58%
8.14%	Sub	10.38%
18.56%	Decision	5.52%

Plays:
1.30% on Fight GTD at +450

Douglas Silva (22.73%) vs Rob Font (77.27%)

22.73%	Overall	77.27%
3.28%	KO/TKO	11.30%
1.53%	Sub	5.82%
17.92%	Decision	60.15%

Plays:
9.06% on Font by Dec at +159