UFC 214 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Daniel Cormier (27.53%) vs Jon Jones (72.47%)

27.53%	Overall	72.47%
14.04%	KO	45.79%
2.83%	Sub	4.22%
10.66%	Dec	22.46%

Plays:

13.18% on Jones ITD at +289

Tyron Woodley (66.71%) vs Demian Maia (33.29%)

66.71%	Overall	33.29%
43.28%	KO	18.58%
3.85%	Sub	3.11%
19.59%	Dec	11.59%

Plays:

None

Robbie Lawler (55.07%) vs Donald Cerrone (44.93%) 

55.07%	Overall	44.93%
22.98%	KO	20.91%
3.70%	Sub	8.09%
28.39%	Dec	15.93%

Plays:

1.45% on Cerrone by KO/TKO at +500

Ricardo Lamas (33.60%) vs Jason Knight (66.40%)

33.60%	Overall	66.40%
5.91%	KO	18.22%
7.87%	Sub	25.59%
19.82%	Dec	22.59%

Plays:

10.46% on Knight at -115

Aljamain Sterling (48.04%) vs Renan Barao (51.96%)

48.04%	Overall	51.96%
16.47%	KO	15.78%
6.46%	Sub	8.89%
25.12%	Dec	27.28%

Plays:

6.79% on Fight DGTD at +190

Renato Moicano (55.38%) vs Brian Ortega (44.62%)

55.38%	Overall	44.62%
8.20%	KO	9.48%
5.23%	Sub	12.71%
41.95%	Dec	22.43%

Plays:

2.65% on Ortega at +155

Josh Burkman (22.78%) vs Drew Dober (77.22%)

22.78%	Overall	77.22%
7.22%	KO	40.06%
3.80%	Sub	7.56%
11.76%	Dec	29.60%

Plays:

6.46% on Fight DGTD +105