Thursday, December 29, 2016

UFC 207 Nunes vs Rousey Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed* 
Amanda Nunes (39.19%) vs Ronda Rousey (60.81%)


 39.19%
Overall 
60.81% 
 30.67%
 KO/TKO
20.92% 
 7.76%
 Sub
39.34% 
 0.77%
 Decision
0.54% 


Plays:
Rousey by KO/TKO @ +620
Rousey in Round 3 @ +1250
Rousey in Round 4 @ +2250
Rousey in Round 5 @ +3550

TJ Dillashaw (65.68%) vs John Lineker (34.32%)

 65.68%
Overall 
34.32% 
 6.86%
 KO/TKO
10.99% 
 5.82%
 Sub
1.11% 
 53.00%
 Decision
22.22% 

Plays:
None

Dong Hyun Kim (50.39%) vs Tarec Saffiedine (49.61%)

 50.39%
Overall 
49.61% 
 10.54%
 KO/TKO
7.12% 
 12.02%
 Sub
1.58% 
 27.83%
 Decision
40.91% 

Plays:
None

Louis Smolka (57.73%) vs Ray Borg (42.27%)

 57.73%
Overall 
42.27% 
 8.22%
 KO/TKO
5.08% 
 14.81%
 Sub
13.91% 
 34.71%
 Decision
23.28% 

Plays:
Smolka @ +125

Neil Magny (72.25%) vs Johny Hendricks (27.75%)

 72.25%
Overall 
27.75% 
 5.09%
 KO/TKO
4.14% 
 14.66%
 Sub
8.82% 
 52.50%
Decision 
14.78% 

Plays:
Magny @ -130
Magny by Decision @ +180

Mike Pyle (42.96%) vs Alex Garcia (57.04%)

42.96% 
Overall 
57.04% 
 10.83%
 KO/TKO
20.35% 
 16.36%
 Sub
11.74% 
 15.77%
 Decision
24.95% 

Plays:
Pyle by Sub @ +618

Alex Oliveira (54.49%) vs Tim Means (45.51%)

 54.49%
Overall 
45.51% 
 2.04%
 KO/TKO
10.54% 
 13.25%
 Sub
7.77% 
 39.21%
 Decision
27.19% 

Plays:
Fight GTD @ -110

Saturday, December 17, 2016

UFC on Fox Van Zant vs Waterson Fight Projections

Urijah Faber (70.44%) vs Brad Pickett (29.56%)

 70.44%
Overall 
29.56% 
 1.22%
KO/TKO 
3.58% 
 15.60%
Sub 
6.53% 
 53.63%
Decision 
19.44% 

Plays:
Fight GTD @ -125

Cole Miller (76.36%) vs Mizuto Hirota (23.64%)

 76.36%
Overall 
23.64% 
 23.82%
 KO/TKO
3.19% 
 18.44%
 Sub
1.66% 
 34.10%
 Decision
18.79% 

Plays:
Miller @ -110
Miller by KO/TKO @ +524

Eddie Wineland (67.75%) vs Takeya Mizugaki (32.25%)

 67.75%
Overall 
32.25% 
 20.03%
 KO/TKO
1.66% 
 9.88%
 Sub
7.66% 
 37.84%
 Decision
22.93% 

Plays:
None

Friday, December 9, 2016

UFC 206 Holloway vs Pettis Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
Max Holloway (62.33%) vs Anthony Pettis (37.67%)


 62.33%
Overall 
37.67% 
 16.71%
 KO/TKO
3.33% 
 3.56%
 Sub
7.71% 
 42.05%
 Decision
26.63% 

Plays:
Fight GTD @ -125

Donald Cerrone (60.20%) vs Matt Brown (39.80%)

 60.20%
Overall 
39.80% 
 14.78%
 KO/TKO
20.46% 
 16.03%
 Sub
6.79% 
 29.39%
 Decision
12.54% 

Plays:
Brown @ +230

Cub Swanson (17.28%) vs Dooho Choi (82.72%)

 17.28%
Overall 
82.72% 
 0.88%
 KO/TKO
6.55% 
 4.37%
 Sub
3.83% 
 12.03%
 Decision
72.34% 

Plays:
Fight GTD @ +140
Choi by Dec @ +287
(Model probably underrating Choi's power on small sample, but value is still there)

Tim Kennedy (44.83%) vs Kelvin Gastelum (55.17%)

 44.83%
Overall 
55.17% 
 1.74%
 KO/TKO
4.60% 
 13.45%
 Sub
3.69% 
 29.63%
 Decision
46.89% 

Plays:
Gastelum @ +115

Olivier Aubin-Mercier (56.22%) vs Drew Dober (43.78%)

 56.22%
Overall 
43.78% 
 2.00%
 KO/TKO
13.61% 
 23.17%
 Sub
8.24% 
 31.05%
 Decision
21.93% 

Plays:
Aubin-Mercier by Sub @ +440

Jason Saggo (32.09%) vs Rustam Khabilov (67.91%)

 32.09%
Overall 
67.91% 
 0.31%
 KO/TKO
3.86% 
 9.41%
 Sub
23.56% 
 22.37%
 Decision
40.48% 

Plays:
Khavilov by Sub +586

Zach Makovsky (49.17%) vs Dustin Ortiz (50.83%)

 49.17%
Overall 
50.83% 
 2.93%
 KO/TKO
1.13% 
 15.47%
 Sub
3.25% 
 30.78%
 Decision
46.45% 

Plays:
Ortiz @ +140
Makovsky by Sub +689