Thursday, November 16, 2017

UFC Fight Night Werdum vs Tybura Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Fabricio Werdum (67.12%) vs Marcin Tybura (32.88%)

 67.12%
Overall
32.88% 
 13.65%
KO
16.95% 
 14.98%
Sub
0.08% 
 38.49%
Decision
15.85% 

Plays:
11.39% on Fight GTD at +150

Tim Means (57.39%) vs Belal Muhammad (42.61%)

 57.39%
Overall
42.61% 
 17.44%
KO
5.81% 
 11.26%
Sub
1.91% 
 28.69%
Decision
34.89% 

Plays:
4.36% on Muhammad at +180

Jake Matthews (63.04%) vs Bojan Velickovic (36.96%)

 63.04%
Overall
36.96% 
 8.31%
KO
4.64% 
 13.40%
Sub
8.64% 
 41.33%
Decision
23.69% 

Plays:
5.49% on Matthews at -135
Elias Theodorou (73.92%) vs Dan Kelly (26.08%)

 73.92%
Overall
26.08% 
 4.37%
KO
7.82% 
 1.34%
Sub
0.21% 
 68.21%
Decision
18.05% 

Plays:
14.44% on Theodorou by decision at -125
Nik Lentz (20.20%) vs Will Brooks (79.80%)

 20.20%
Overall
79.80% 
 9.21%
KO
8.36% 
 0.72%
Sub
6.51% 
 10.27%
Decision
64.93% 

Plays:
5.94% on Brooks by decision at -145

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