Friday, November 3, 2017

UFC 217 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Michael Bisping (54.23%) vs Georges St. Pierre (45.77%)

 54.23%
Overall
45.77% 
 25.58%
KO
18.41% 
 2.83%
Sub
2.07% 
 25.82%
Decision
25.29% 

Plays:
2.08% on Bisping at -105

Cody Garbrandt (60.40%) vs TJ Dillashaw (39.60%)

 60.40%
Overall
39.60% 
 27.75%
KO
13.83% 
 4.50%
Sub
3.55% 
 28.15%
Decision
22.22% 

Plays:
1.42% on Dillashaw by KO/TKO at +905
Joanna Jedrzejcyk (78.41%) vs Rose Namajunas (21.59%)

 78.41%
Overall
21.59% 
 15.71%
KO
3.23% 
 8.38%
Sub
3.44% 
 54.31%
Decision
14.92% 

Plays:
2.50% on Namajunas at +550

Stephen Thompson (57.91%) vs Jorge Masvidal (42.09%) 

 57.91%
Overall
42.09% 
 22.68%
KO
17.54% 
 5.22%
Sub
2.61% 
 30.01%
Decision
21.93% 

Plays:
1.98% on Masvidal at +160

James Vick (42.14%) vs Joe Duffy (57.86%)

 42.14%
Overall
57.86% 
 14.78%
KO
18.93% 
 7.91%
Sub
15.46% 
 19.45%
Decision
23.47% 

Plays:
2.27% on Vick by KO/TKO at +1055

Randy Brown (53.71%) vs Mickey Gall (46.29%) 

 53.71%
Overall
46.29%
 29.71%
KO
3.35% 
 15.61%
Sub
42.88% 
 8.40%
Decision
0.06%

Plays:
1.70% on Brown at -105

Aleksei Oleinik (17.91%) vs Curtis Blaydes (82.09%) 

 17.91%
Overall
82.09% 
 1.89%
KO
6.87% 
 9.54%
Sub
3.04% 
 6.47%
Decision
72.18% 

Plays:
30.80% on Over 1 1/2 rounds at -137

Ovince Saint Preux (49.98%) vs Corey Anderson (50.02%)

 49.98%
Overall
50.02% 
 10.89%
KO
7.45% 
 13.62%
Sub
3.31% 
 25.50%
Decision
39.26% 

Plays:
3.52% on Anderson at +125

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