Friday, October 5, 2018

UFC 229 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Khabib Nurmagomedov (51.18%) vs Conor McGregor (48.82%)

Plays:
2.26% on McGregor at +165

Tony Ferguson (86.98%) vs Anthony Pettis (13.02%)

Plays:
None

Ovince Saint Preux (17.30%) vs Dominick Reyes (82.70%)

Plays:
7.86% on Reyes at -230

Derrick Lewis (25.86%) vs Alexander Volkov (74.14%)

Plays:
5.09% on Volkov at -160

Michelle Waterson (54.96%) vs Felice Herrig (45.04%)

Plays:
1.43% on Waterson at +105

Sergio Pettis (78.00%) vs Jussier Formiga (22.00%)

Plays:
8.55% on Pettis at -150

Scott Holtzman (51.64%) vs Alan Patrick (48.36%)

Plays:
4.81% on Holtzman at +240

Gray Maynard (25.06%) vs Nik Lentz (74.94%)

Plays:
None

Ryan LaFlare (57.76%) vs Tony Martin (42.24%)

Plays:
None

UFC Fight Night Santos vs Anders Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Thiago Santos (71.62%) vs Eryk Anders (28.38%)

Plays:
6.53% on Santos at -165

Sam Alvey (91.32%) vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (8.68%)

Plays:
32.06% on Alvey at -340

Charles Oliveira (77.86%) vs Christos Giagos (22.14%)

Plays:
None

Fransisco Trinaldo (53.14%) vs Evan Dunham (46.86%)

Plays:
3.56% on Dunham at +168

Sergio Moraes (61.54%) vs Ben Saunders (38.46%)

Plays:
3.05% on Saunders at +245

Thales Leites (50.62%) vs Hector Lombard (49.38%)

Plays:
1.29% on Lombard at +117

Friday, September 14, 2018

UFC Fight Night Hunt vs Oleinik Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Mark Hunt (68.46%) vs Aleksei Oleinik (31.54%)

Plays:
9.37% on Hunt at -125

Jan Blachowicz (21.42%) vs Nikita Krylov (78.58%)

Plays:
19.87% on Krylov at -150

Andrei Arlovski (47.78%) vs Shamil Abdurakhimov (52.22%)

Plays:
1.46% on Arlovski at +125

Rustam Khabilov (61.62%) vs Kajan Johnson (38.38%)

Plays:
8.96% on Johnson at +600


Mairbek Taisumov (72.04%) vs Desmond Green (27.96%)

Plays:
2.78% on Green at +420

Friday, September 7, 2018

UFC 228 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Tyron Woodley (50.38%) vs Darren Till (49.62%)

Plays:
4.01% on Woodley at +130

Zabit Magomedsharipov (68.28%) vs Brandon Davis (31.72%)

Plays:
8.94% on Davis at +850

Jessica Andrade (82.38%) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz (17.62%)

Plays:
None

Abdul Razak Alhassan (64.90%) vs Niko Price (35.10%)

Plays:
8.50% on Alhassan at -120

Aljamain Sterling (47.74%) vs Cody Stamann (52.26%)

Plays:
6.39% on Stamann at +140

Jimmie Rivera (57.56%) vs John Dodson (42.44%)

Plays:
None

Jim Miller (34.60%) vs Alex White (65.40%)

Plays:
4.49% on White at -150

Irene Aldana (39.32%) vs Lucie Pudilova (60.68%)

Plays:
7.82% on Pudilova at +100

Friday, August 24, 2018

UFC Fight Night Gaethje vs Vick Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Justin Gaethje (56.12%) vs James Vick (43.88%)

Plays:
1.12% on Gaethje at +125

Michael Johnson (15.80%) vs Andre Fili (84.20%)

Plays:
8.16% on Fili at -115

Cortney Casey (35.24%) vs Angela Hill (64.76%)

Plays:
1.10% on Hill at -125

Jake Ellenberger (19.60%) vs Bryan Barberena (80.40%)

Plays:
None

John Moraga (19.34%) vs Deiveson Figueiredo (80.66%)

Plays:
4.48% on Figueiredo at -150

James Krause (15.66%) vs Warlley Alves (84.34%)

Plays:
None

Mickey Gall (78.52%) vs George Sullivan (21.48%)

Plays:
2.04% on Gall at -320

Drew Dober (65.22%) vs Jon Tuck (34.78%)

Plays:
None
Rani Yayha (31.74%) vs Luke Sanders (68.26%)

Plays:
2.73% on Sanders at +110

Friday, August 3, 2018

UFC 227 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

TJ Dillashaw (42.90%) vs Cody Garbrandt (57.10%)

Plays:

9.24% on Garbrandt at +110

Demetrious Johnson (87.66%) vs Henry Cejudo (12.34%)

Plays:

22.13% on Johnson at -430

Cub Swanson (19.94%) vs Renato Moicano (80.06%)

Plays:

11.29% on Moicano at -295

Pedro Munhoz (64.96%) vs Brett Johns (35.04%)

Plays:

0.36% on Johns at +190

Friday, July 27, 2018

UFC Fight Night Alvarez vs Poirier Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Eddie Alvarez (16.46%) vs Dustin Poirier (83.54%)

Plays:
6.82% on Poirier at -160

Jose Aldo (50.76%) vs Jeremy Stephens (49.24%)

Plays:
None

Joanna Jedrzejczyk (83.00%) vs Tecia Torres (17.00%)

Plays:
2.80% on Jedrzejczyk at -280

Jordan Mein (44.86%) vs Alex Morono (55.14%)

Plays:
None

Kajan Johnson (35.10%) vs Islam Makhachev (64.90%)

Plays:
1.46% on Johnson at +505


John Makdessi (89.38%) vs Ross Pearson (10.62%)

Plays:
11.19% on Makdessi at -195

Alexis Davis (30.94%) vs Katlyn Chookagian (69.06%)

Plays:
1.63% on Chookagian at -145

Dustin Ortiz (40.22%) vs Matheus Nicolau (59.78%)

Plays:
None

Randa Markos (38.38%) vs Nina Ansaroff (61.62%)

Plays:
None

Saturday, July 21, 2018

UFC Fight Night Rua vs Smith Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Shogua Rua (19.42%) vs Anthony Smith (80.58%)

Plays:
29.86% on Smith at -190

Glover Teixeira (50.06%) vs Corey Anderson (49.94%)

Plays:
6.36% on Anderson at +140

Marcin Tybura (76.56%) vs Stefan Struve (23.44%)

Plays:
9.11% on Tybura at -245

Nick Hein (58.30%) vs Damir Hadzovic (41.70%)

Plays:
0.58% on Hadzovic at +145

Friday, July 13, 2018

UFC Fight Night Dos Santos vs Ivanov Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Sage Northcutt (39.68%) vs Zak Ottow (60.32%)

Plays:
2.55% on Ottow at +130

Dennis Bermudez (70.38%) vs Rick Glenn (29.62%)

Plays:
None

Niko Price (48.72%) vs Randy Brown (51.28%)

Plays:
None


Chad Mendes (23.08%) vs Myles Jury (76.92%)

Plays:
8.47% on Jury at +125


Cat Zingano (69.14%) vs Marion Reneau (30.86%)

Plays:
3.97% on Zingano at +105

Alejandro Perez (70.74%) vs Eddie Wineland (29.26%)

Plays:
1.74% on Perez at -165


Alex Volkanovski (88.38%) vs Darren Elkins (11.62%)

Plays:
7.61% on Volkanovski at -280



Friday, July 6, 2018

UFC 226 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Stipe Miocic (70.44%) vs Daniel Cormier (27.78%)

Plays:
0.77% on Miocic at -210

Francis Ngannou (87.82%) vs Derrick Lewis (12.18%)

Plays:
7.46% on Ngannou at -335


Michael Chiesa (38.62%) vs Anthony Pettis (61.38%)

Plays:
4.10% on Pettis at +135

Uriah Hall (35.50%) vs Paulo Costa (64.50%)

Plays:
1.67% on Hall at +340

Mike Perry (64.94%) vs Paul Felder (35.06%)

Plays:
5.37% on Perry at +135

Raphael Assuncao (50.06%) vs Rob Font (49.94%)

Plays:
1.80% on Font at +155

Dan Hooker (59.36) vs Gilbert Burns (40.64%)

Plays:
1.22% on Hooker at -115

Lando Vannata (43.26%) vs Drakkar Klose (56.74%)

Plays:
3.55% on Klose at +160

Friday, June 22, 2018

UFC Fight Night Cerrone vs Edwards Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Donald Cerrone (37.74%) vs Leon Edwards (62.26%)

 37.74%
Overall
62.26% 
 15.09%
KO/TKO
31.68% 
 11.74%
Sub
1.20% 
 10.91%
Decision
29.38% 


Plays:
4.23% on Cerrone at +195

Ovince Saint Preux (33.40%) vs Tyson Pedro (66.60%)

 33.40%
Overall
66.60% 
 6.01%
KO/TKO
19.51% 
 12.41%
Sub
23.21% 
 14.98%
Decision
23.88% 


Plays:
15.20% on Pedro at -145

Shinsho Anzai (25.30%) vs Jake Matthews (74.70%)

 25.30%
Overall
74.70% 
 7.26%
KO/TKO
15.61% 
 3.04%
Sub
38.66% 
 14.99%
Decision
20.43% 


Plays:
6.53% on Anzai at +450

Jenel Lausa (33.10%) vs Ulka Sasaki (66.90%)

 33.10%
Overall
66.90% 
 8.22%
KO/TKO
5.34% 
 0.63%
Sub
48.32% 
 24.25%
Decision
13.24% 


Plays:
1.89% on Lausa at +220

Friday, June 8, 2018

UFC 225 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Robert Whittaker (84.78%) vs Yoel Romero (15.22%)

 84.78%
Overall
15.22% 
 46.12%
KO
14.45% 
 0.09%
Sub
0.02% 
 38.57%
Decision
0.75% 


Plays:
11.30% on Whittaker at -250

Rafael Dos Anjos (37.98%) vs Colby Covington (62.02%)

 37.98%
Overall
62.02% 
 17.27% 
KO
9.87% 
 12.21%
Sub
1.54% 
 8.49%
Decision
50.60%


Plays:
1.55% on Covington at -135

Alistair Overeem (41.80%) vs Curtis Blaydes (58.20%)

 41.80%
Overall
58.20% 
 15.79%
KO
11.02% 
 5.42%
Sub
0.10% 
 20.59%
Decision
47.08% 


Plays:
0.96% on Overeem at +167

Claudia Gadelha (86.20%) vs Carla Esparza (13.80%)

 86.20%
Overall
13.80% 
 8.95%
KO
4.10% 
 15.63%
Sub
0.17% 
 61.61%
Decision
9.52% 


Plays:
5.60% on Gadelha at -405

Ricardo Lamas (24.70%) vs Mirsad Bektic (75.30%)

 24.70%
Overall
75.30% 
 9.00%
KO
30.07% 
 2.78%
Sub
0.56% 
 12.93%
Decision
44.67% 


Plays:
None

Rashad Evans (26.62%) vs Anthony Smith (73.38%)

 26.62%
Overall
73.38% 
 7.67%
KO
18.87% 
 0.15%
Sub
7.78% 
 18.80%
Decision
46.73% 


Plays:
None

Joseph Benavidez (77.66%) vs Sergio Pettis (22.34%)

 77.66%
Overall
22.34% 
 5.15%
KO
5.88% 
 7.04%
Sub
0.40% 
 65.47%
Decision
16.06% 


Plays:
6.34% on Benavidez at -200

Clay Guida (27.10%) vs Charles Oliveira (72.90%)

 27.10%
Overall
72.90% 
 9.67%
KO
29.80% 
 1.45%
Sub
33.56% 
 15.97%
Decision
9.53% 


Plays:
7.78% on Oliveira at -130

Thursday, May 31, 2018

UFC Fight Night Rivera vs Moraes Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Jimmie Rivera (53.64%) vs Marlon Moraes (46.36%)

 53.64%
Overall
46.36% 
 10.1%0%
KO
12.58% 
 3.71%
Sub
5.24% 
 39.83%
Decision
28.54% 


Plays:
1.82% on Rivera on +100

Jake Ellenberger (45.98%) vs Ben Saunders (54.02%)

 45.98%
Overall
54.02% 
 34.42%
KO
34.87% 
 0.34%
Sub
9.26% 
 11.22%
Decision
9.89% 


Plays:
7.46% on Saunders +155

Gian Villante (77.18%) vs Sam Alvey (22.82%)

 77.18%
Overall
22.82% 
 28.81%
KO
12.73% 
 0.72%
Sub
0.26% 
 47.65%
Decision
9.83% 


Plays:
34.20% on Villante at +130

Nik Lentz (24.02%) vs David Teymur (75.98%)

 24.02%
Overall
75.98% 
 4.35%
KO
11.49% 
 3.19%
Sub
0.85% 
 16.47%
Decision
63.64% 


Plays:
1.56% on Teymur at -290

Desmond Green (77.90%) vs Gleison Tibau (22.10%)

 77.90%
Overall
22.10% 
 16.59%
KO
7.05% 
 0.77%
Sub
0.83% 
 60.54%
Decision
14.22% 


Plays:
3.37% on Green at -295