Friday, May 18, 2018

UFC Fight Night Usman vs Maia Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
*Note: Start of new random forest model*

Diego Rivas (54.74%) vs Guido Cannetti (45.26%)

 54.74%
Overall
45.26% 
 16.15%
KO
16.99% 
 14.34%
Sub
5.49% 
 24.25%
Decision
24.12% 


Plays:
6.34% on Cannetti at +155

Vincente Luque (69.56%) vs Chad Laprise (30.44%)

 69.56%
Overall
30.44% 
 17.33%
KO
4.02% 
 28.11%
Sub
10.75% 
 24.12%
Decision
15.67% 


Plays:
2.46% on Luque at -215

Zak Cummings (50.98%) vs Michel Prazeres (49.02%)

 50.98%
Overall
49.02% 
 11.49%
KO
8.32% 
 4.32%
Sub
6.22% 
 35.17%
Decision
34.49% 


Plays:
12.71% on Prazeres at +165

Brandon Moreno (50.12%) vs Alexandre Pantoja (49.88%)

 50.12%
Overall
49.88% 
 7.49%
KO
6.50% 
 8.11%
Sub
18.13% 
 34.51%
Decision
25.25% 


Plays:
2.88% on Moreno at +110

Henry Briones (20.30%) vs Frankie Saenz (79.70%)

 20.30%
Overall
79.70% 
 5.47%
KO
3.72% 
 0.54%
Sub
1.72% 
 14.29%
Decision
74.26% 


Plays:
9.92% on Saenz at -320

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