Thursday, May 31, 2018

UFC Fight Night Rivera vs Moraes Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Jimmie Rivera (53.64%) vs Marlon Moraes (46.36%)

 53.64%
Overall
46.36% 
 10.1%0%
KO
12.58% 
 3.71%
Sub
5.24% 
 39.83%
Decision
28.54% 


Plays:
1.82% on Rivera on +100

Jake Ellenberger (45.98%) vs Ben Saunders (54.02%)

 45.98%
Overall
54.02% 
 34.42%
KO
34.87% 
 0.34%
Sub
9.26% 
 11.22%
Decision
9.89% 


Plays:
7.46% on Saunders +155

Gian Villante (77.18%) vs Sam Alvey (22.82%)

 77.18%
Overall
22.82% 
 28.81%
KO
12.73% 
 0.72%
Sub
0.26% 
 47.65%
Decision
9.83% 


Plays:
34.20% on Villante at +130

Nik Lentz (24.02%) vs David Teymur (75.98%)

 24.02%
Overall
75.98% 
 4.35%
KO
11.49% 
 3.19%
Sub
0.85% 
 16.47%
Decision
63.64% 


Plays:
1.56% on Teymur at -290

Desmond Green (77.90%) vs Gleison Tibau (22.10%)

 77.90%
Overall
22.10% 
 16.59%
KO
7.05% 
 0.77%
Sub
0.83% 
 60.54%
Decision
14.22% 


Plays:
3.37% on Green at -295

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