UFC 224 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Amanda Nunes (93.79%) vs Raquel Pennington (6.21%)

93.79%	Overall	6.21%
22.98%	KO	5.15%
29.05%	Sub	0.23%
41.76%	Decision	0.87%

Plays:
7.07% on Nunes by decision at +235

Jacare Souza (42.64%) vs Kelvin Gastelum (57.36%)

42.64%	Overall	57.36%
8.80%	KO	36.38%
15.47%	Sub	0.04%
18.37%	Decision	20.94%

Plays:
11.26% on Gastelum at +130

John Lineker (66.04%) vs Brian Kelleher (33.96%)

66.04%	Overall	33.96%
21.80%	KO	9.15%
7.19%	Sub	2.25%
37.05%	Decision	22.56%

Plays:
1.16% on Kelleher at +215

Vitor Belfort (32.69%) vs Lyoto Machida (67.31%)

32.69%	Overall	67.31%
16.18%	KO	32.05%
0.24%	Sub	0.18%
16.27%	Decision	35.08%

Plays:
4.19% on Fight GTD at +120

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (57.51%) vs Sean Strickland (42.49%)

57.51%	Overall	42.49%
10.45%	KO	5.91%
1.70%	Sub	0.82%
45.36%	Decision	35.75%

Plays:
3.09% on Zaleski dos Santos by decision at +147

Thales Leites (35.39%) vs Jack Hermansson (64.61%)

35.39%	Overall	64.61%
5.58%	KO	15.69%
9.23%	Sub	0.47%
20.57%	Decision	48.45%

Plays:
15.03% on Fight GTD at -125