Friday, April 20, 2018

UFC Fight Night Barboza vs Lee Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Edson Barboza (33.22%) vs Kevin Lee (66.78%)

 33.22%
Overall
66.78% 
 23.60%
KO
13.92% 
 0.05%
Sub
37.41% 
 9.57%
Decision
15.44% 


Plays:
5.85% on Fight DGTD at -185

Frankie Edgar (56.63%) vs Cub Swanson (43.37%)

56.63% 
Overall
43.37% 
 2.85%
KO
17.32% 
 0.22%
Sub
0.19% 
 53.56%
Decision
25.86% 


Plays:
2.85% on Swanson at +210

Aljamain Sterling (59.86%) vs Brett Johns (40.14%)

 59.86%
Overall
40.14% 
 12.96%
KO
8.87% 
 15.36%
Sub
1.25% 
 31.54%
Decision
30.01% 


Plays:
2.71% on Sterling at -110

Jim Miller (27.71%) vs Dan Hooker (72.29%)

 27.71%
Overall
72.29% 
 10.79%
KO
6.18% 
 2.38%
Sub
3.61% 
 14.55%
Decision
62.50% 


Plays:
4.09% on Fight GTD at -240

Ryan LaFlare (54.04%) vs Alex Garcia (45.96%)

 54.04%
Overall
45.96% 
 5.93%
KO
6.95% 
 1.79%
Sub
2.90% 
 46.31%
Decision
36.11% 


Plays:
1.16% on Garcia at +140

Siyar Bahadurzada (29.74%) vs Luan Chagas (70.26%)

 29.74%
Overall
70.26% 
 12.12%
KO
32.89% 
 6.87%
Sub
20.52% 
 10.75%
Decision
16.85% 


Plays:
7.19% on Chagas at -125

Corey Anderson (68.76%) vs Patrick Cummins (31.24%)

 68.76%
Overall
31.24% 
 8.20%
KO
2.99% 
 3.55%
Sub
0.37% 
 57.01%
Decision
27.89% 


Plays:
5.27% on Anderson at -135

Tony Martin (71.71%) vs Keira Nakamura (28.29%)

 71.71%
Overall
28.29% 
 3.42%
KO
4.31% 
 1.15%
Sub
7.89% 
 67.14%
Decision
16.09% 


Plays:
3.30% on Martin by decision at -148

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