UFC 223 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Khabib Nurmagomedov (76.91%) vs Al Iaquinta (23.09%) 

76.91%	Overall	23.09
31.71%	KO	21.81%
22.88%	Sub	0.33%
22.33%	Decision	0.95%

Plays:
2.98% on Iaquinta at +450

Rose Namajunas (63.40%) vs Joanna Jedrzejcyk (36.60%)

63.40%	Overall	36.60%
12.57%	KO	11.72%
24.67%	Sub	0.03%
26.16%	Decision	24.85%

Plays:
14.07% on Namajunas at -110

Karolina Kowalkiewicz (65.29%) vs Felice Herrig (34.71%)

65.29%	Overall	34.71%
7.93%	KO	8.00%
0.71%	Sub	6.77%
56.66%	Decision	19.93%

Plays:
2.28% on Kowalkiewicz by decision at -120

Joe Lauzon (48.92%) vs Chris Gruetzmacher (50.79%)

48.92%	Overall	50.79%
12.36%	KO	11.67%
18.28%	Sub	0.82%
18.28%	Decision	38.30%

Plays:
10.24% on Gruetzmacher at +150

Evan Dunham (57.38%) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier (42.62%)

57.38%	Overall	42.62%
18.28%	KO	9.26%
5.83%	Sub	5.03%
33.27%	Decision	28.33%

Plays:
4.58% on Dunham ITD at +500

Bec Rawlings (42.83%) vs Ashlee Evans-Smith (57.17%) 

42.83%	Overall	57.17%
3.89%	KO	5.29%
5.83%	Sub	1.20%
33.11%	Decision	50.68%

Plays:
4.73% on Rawlings at +170