Friday, February 23, 2018

UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Stephens Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Josh Emmett (44.65%) vs Jeremy Stephens (55.35%)

 44.65%
Overall
55.35% 
 12.18%
KO
15.15% 
 4.14%
Sub
1.71% 
 28.33%
Decision
38.49% 



Plays:
20.49% on Fight GTD at +170

Jessica Andrade (73.74%) vs Tecia Torres (26.26%)

73.74%
Overall
26.26% 
 4.04%
KO
8.88% 
 10.99%
Sub
0.37% 
 58.71%
Decision
17.01% 


Plays:
None

Ovince Saint Preux (61.35%) vs Ilir Latifi (38.65%)

 61.35%
Overall
38.65% 
 23.63%
KO
17.09% 
 19.92%
Sub
1.81% 
 17.80%
Decision
19.74% 



Plays:
1.12% on Saint Preux by Sub at +525

Mike Perry (70.36%) vs Max Griffin (29.64%)

 70.36%
Overall
29.64% 
 48.20%
KO
10.00% 
 0.07%
Sub
2.30% 
 22.09%
Decision
17.34% 


Plays:
1.89% on Griffin at +320

Renan Barao (53.62%) vs Brian Kelleher (46.38%)

 53.62%
Overall
46.38% 
 17.69%
KO
27.62% 
 16.66%
Sub
4.32% 
 19.27%
Decision
14.44% 


Plays:
4.51% on Kelleher by KO/TKO at +650

Sara McMann (64.71%) vs Marion Reneau (35.29%)

 64.71%
Overall
35.29% 
 2.98%
KO
18.82% 
 1.72%
Sub
2.52% 
 60.01%
Decision
13.95% 


Plays:
2.40% on Reneau by KO/TKO at +873

Maryna Moroz (46.38%) vs Angela Hill (54.17%)

 46.38%
Overall
54.17% 
 6.63%
KO
3.22% 
 7.52%
Sub
0.22% 
 13.95%
Decision
50.73% 


Plays:
3.05% on Moroz at +155

Ben Saunders (31.48%) vs Alan Jouban (68.52%)

 31.48%
Overall
68.52% 
 12.97%
KO
40.61% 
 6.43%
Sub
0.29% 
 12.09%
Decision
27.62% 


Plays:
1.38% on Jouban by decision at +330

Rani Yayha (61.81%) vs Russell Doane (38.19%)

 61.81%
Overall
38.19% 
 5.95%
KO
15.49% 
 20.40%
Sub
0.82% 
 35.42%
Decision
21.88% 


Plays:
6.33% on Fight GTD at +120

Saturday, February 17, 2018

UFC Fight Night Cerrone vs Medeiros Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Donald Cerrone (46.20%) vs Yancy Medeiros (53.80%)

 46.20%
Overall
53.80% 
 19.51%
KO
32.96% 
 20.41%
Sub
4.17% 
 6.28%
Decision
16.67% 


Plays:
2.15% on Medeiros by KO/TKO at +235


Derrick Lewis (41.64%) vs Marcin Tybura (58.36%)

 41.64%
Overall
58.36% 
 17.60%
KO
 13.50%
 1.10%
Sub
11.83%
 22.94%
Decision
33.03%


Plays:
11.05% on Fight GTD at +120

James Vick (75.47%) vs Fransisco Trinaldo (24.53%)

 75.47%
Overall
24.53%
 15.18%
KO
6.28%
 12.70%
Sub
0.40%
 47.59%
Decision
17.86%


Plays:
9.44% on Vick by decision at +171
Sage Northcutt (69.64%) vs Thibault Gouti (30.36%)

 69.64%
Overall
30.36%
 18.37%
KO
4.91%
 24.87%
Sub
8.36%
 26.40%
Decision
17.08%


Plays:
4.70% on Fight GTD at +165

Joshua Burkman (21.53%) vs Alex Morono (78.47%)

 21.53%
Overall
78.47%
 3.70%
KO
22.49%
 1.01%
Sub
14.48%
 16.81%
Decision
41.51%


Plays:
11.88% on Fight GTD at +110

Friday, February 9, 2018

UFC 221 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Yoel Romero (32.94%) vs Luke Rockhold (67.06%)

 32.94%
Overall
67.06% 
 25.32%
KO
29.44% 
 0.01%
Sub
14.70% 
 7.61%
Decision
22.92% 

Plays:
0.82% on Rockhold at -155

Mark Hunt (20.86%) vs Curtis Blaydes (79.14%)

 20.86%
Overall
79.14% 
 10.21%
KO
7.39% 
 0.07%
Sub
1.78% 
 10.58%
Decision
69.97% 

Plays:
4.71% on Blaydes by decision at +170

Jake Matthews (46.40%) vs Li Jingliang (53.60%)

 46.40%
Overall
53.60% 
 4.74%
KO
8.00% 
 9.16%
Sub
13.06% 
 32.50%
Decision
32.55% 

Plays:
0.38% on Matthews at +140
Damien Brown (41.18%) vs Dong Hyun Kim (58.82%)

 41.18%
Overall
 58.82%
 5.17%
KO
4.59% 
 4.70%
Sub
13.31% 
 31.32%
Decision
40.92% 

Plays:
2.15% on Fight GTD at -140

Alexander Volkanovski (62.13%) vs Jeremy Kennedy (37.87%)

 62.13%
Overall
37.87% 
 25.81%
KO
7.79% 
 5.42%
Sub
2.05% 
 30.90%
Decision
28.04% 

Plays:
0.23% on Kennedy at +190

Jussier Formiga (45.75%) vs Ben Nguyen (54.25%)

 45.75%
Overall
54.25% 
 10.20%
KO
33.65% 
 8.78%
Sub
1.31% 
 26.77%
Decision
19.28% 

Plays:
0.74% on Nguyen by KO/TKO at +350

Ross Pearson (61.53%) vs Mizuto Hirota (38.47%)

 61.53%
Overall
38.47% 
 13.06%
KO
7.15% 
 2.96%
Sub
0.56% 
 45.52%
Decision
30.76% 

 Plays:
0.88% on Fight GTD at -250

Teruto Ishihara (49.98%) vs Jose Quinonez (50.02%)

 49.98%
Overall
50.02% 
 2.50%
KO
2.63% 
 1.22%
Sub
3.67% 
 46.26%
Decision
43.72% 

 Plays:
12.18% on Fight GTD at -160