Saturday, February 17, 2018

UFC Fight Night Cerrone vs Medeiros Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Donald Cerrone (46.20%) vs Yancy Medeiros (53.80%)

 46.20%
Overall
53.80% 
 19.51%
KO
32.96% 
 20.41%
Sub
4.17% 
 6.28%
Decision
16.67% 


Plays:
2.15% on Medeiros by KO/TKO at +235


Derrick Lewis (41.64%) vs Marcin Tybura (58.36%)

 41.64%
Overall
58.36% 
 17.60%
KO
 13.50%
 1.10%
Sub
11.83%
 22.94%
Decision
33.03%


Plays:
11.05% on Fight GTD at +120

James Vick (75.47%) vs Fransisco Trinaldo (24.53%)

 75.47%
Overall
24.53%
 15.18%
KO
6.28%
 12.70%
Sub
0.40%
 47.59%
Decision
17.86%


Plays:
9.44% on Vick by decision at +171
Sage Northcutt (69.64%) vs Thibault Gouti (30.36%)

 69.64%
Overall
30.36%
 18.37%
KO
4.91%
 24.87%
Sub
8.36%
 26.40%
Decision
17.08%


Plays:
4.70% on Fight GTD at +165

Joshua Burkman (21.53%) vs Alex Morono (78.47%)

 21.53%
Overall
78.47%
 3.70%
KO
22.49%
 1.01%
Sub
14.48%
 16.81%
Decision
41.51%


Plays:
11.88% on Fight GTD at +110

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