Thursday, December 14, 2017

UFC on Fox Lawler vs Dos Anjos Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Robbie Lawler (39.99%) vs Rafael Dos Anjos (60.01%)

 39.99%
Overall
60.01% 
 17.73%
KO
19.85% 
 0.02%
Sub
6.17% 
 22.24%
Decision
33.99% 

Plays:
0.48% on Dos Anjos at -125

Ricardo Lamas (62.46%) vs Josh Emmett (37.54%)

 62.46%%
Overall
37.54% 
 7.60%
KO
7.57% 
 5.20%
Sub
0.19% 
 49.67%
Decision
29.77%

Plays:
3.60% on Fight GTD at -165

Santiago Ponzinibbio (55.11%) vs Mike Perry (44.89%)

 55.11%
Overall
44.89% 
 19.72%
KO
34.60% 
 2.46%
Sub
0.20% 
 32.94%
Decision
10.08% 

Plays:
0.31% on Perry by KO/TKO at +235
Glover Teixeira (34.10%) vs Misha Cirkunov (65.90%)

 34.10%
Overall
65.90% 
 7.86%
KO
25.16% 
 4.99%
Sub
10.03% 
 21.25%
Decision
30.72% 

Plays:
0.65% on Cirkunov at -155
Jared Cannonier (63.62%) vs Jan Blachowicz (36.38%)

 63.62%
Overall
36.38% 
 12.46%
KO
1.65% 
 0.35%
Sub
0.44% 
 50.81%
Decision
34.29% 

Plays:
6.60% on Fight GTD at -165
John Makdessi (45.27%) vs Abel Trujillo (54.73%)

 45.27%
Overall
54.73% 
 14.80%
KO
1.01% 
 0.24%
Sub
5.46% 
 30.23%
Decision
39.21% 

Plays:
3.52% on Fight GTD at +125
Alessio Di Chirico (56.65%) vs Oluwale Bamgbose (43.35%)

 56.65%
Overall
43.35% 
 10.72%
KO
16.07% 
 20.24%
Sub
3.88% 
 25.69%
Decision
23.40% 

Plays:
1.67% on Fight GTD at +240

Jordan Mein (61.27%) vs Erick Silva (38.73%)

 61.27%
Overall
38.73% 
 26.74%
KO
7.69% 
 2.81%
Sub
17.84% 
 31.72%
Decision
13.20% 

Plays:
0.72% on Fight GTD at +180
Nordine Taleb (41.38%) vs Danny Roberts (58.62%)

 41.38%
Overall
58.62%
 7.56%
KO
12.52% 
 0.33%
Sub
4.07% 
 33.50%
Decision
42.03% 

Plays:
1.02% on Roberts at +105

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