UFC 218 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Max Holloway (76.22%) vs Jose Aldo (23.78%)

76.22%	Overall	23.78%
48.50%	KO	10.91%
4.95%	Sub	0.22%
22.78%	Decision	12.65%

Plays:
1.11% on Holloway by decision at +387

Alistair Overeem (30.38%) vs Francis Ngannou (69.62%)

30.38%	Overall	69.62%
19.73%	KO	63.59%
0.50%	Sub	0.14%
10.15%	Decision	5.90%

Plays:

4.61% on Ngannou by KO/TKO at -145

Henry Cejudo (61.04%) vs Sergio Pettis (38.96%)

61.04%	Overall	38.96%
9.08%	KO	15.25%
1.62%	Sub	0.90%
50.34%	Decision	22.81%

Plays:

7.22% on Pettis at +265

Tecia Torres (72.48%) vs Michelle Waterson (27.52%)

72.48%	Overall	27.52%
5.62%	KO	9.68%
3.41%	Sub	4.25%
63.45%	Decision	13.59%

Plays:
6.26% on Torres by decision at -135

Charles Oliveira (59.99%) vs Paul Felder (40.01%)

59.99%	Overall	40.01%
20.15%	KO	20.91%
28.52%	Sub	1.66%
11.32%	Decision	17.44%

Plays:

7.02% on Oliveira ITD at +155

Alex Oliveira (59.91%) vs Yancy Medeiros (40.09%)

59.91%	Overall	40.09%
13.15%	KO	21.72%
28.66%	Sub	8.09%
18.10%	Decision	10.27%

Plays:

6.23% on Medeiros at +230

Felice Herrig (53.03%) vs Cortney Casey (46.97%)

53.03%	Overall	46.97%
5.72%	KO	2.96%
8.64%	Sub	11.11%
38.67%	Decision	32.89%

Plays:

7.32% on Fight GTD at -195