Thursday, December 28, 2017

UFC 219 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Cris Cyborg (73.52%) vs Holly Holm (26.48%) 

 73.52%
Overall
26.48% 
 48.00%
KO
16.53% 
 4.01%
Sub
0.01% 
 21.50%
Decision
9.94% 

Plays:
1.53% on Holm by KO/TKO at +830

Khabib Nurmagomedov (64.67%) vs Edson Barboza (35.33%)

 64.67%
Overall
35.33% 
 15.64%
KO
25.50% 
 12.29%
Sub
0.14% 
 36.75%
Decision
9.69% 

Plays:
2.02% on Barboza at +240

Cynthia Calvillo (67.43%) vs Carla Esparza (32.57%)

67.43% 
Overall
32.57% 
 35.64%
KO
2.38% 
 18.11%
Sub
0.40% 
 13.68%
Decision
29.79% 

Plays:
8.67% on Calvillo ITD at +181

Carlos Condit (57.95%) vs Neil Magny (42.05%)

 57.95%
Overall
42.05% 
 13.74%
KO
3.83% 
 9.06%
Sub
5.65% 
 35.15%
Decision
32.57% 

Plays:
9.74% on Fight GTD at -115
Dan Hooker (41.71%) vs Marc Diakiese (58.29%)

 41.71%
Overall
58.29% 
 7.83%
KO
15.94% 
 9.02%
Sub
0.70% 
 24.86%
Decision
41.65% 

Plays:
4.83% on Fight GTD at -145
Myles Jury (54.48%) vs Rick Glenn (45.52%)

54.48% 
Overall
45.52% 
 3.46%
KO
2.77% 
 8.32%
Sub
1.08% 
 42.70%
Decision
41.67% 

Plays:
3.44% on Glenn at +170

Marvin Vettori (67.06%) vs Omari Akhmedov (32.94%)

 67.06%
Overall
32.94% 
 17.43%
KO
4.24% 
 9.29%
Sub
2.92% 
 40.33%
Decision
25.78% 

Plays:
8.23% on Fight GTD at -115

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