UFC TUF 26 Finale Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Andrew Sanchez (78.09%) vs Ryan Janes (21.91%)

78.09%	Overall	21.91%
6.62%	KO	11.45%
7.06%	Sub	1.16%
64.42%	Decision	9.29%

Plays:
11.93% on Sanchez by Dec at -125

Eric Spicely (31.01%) vs Gerald Meerschaert (68.99%)

31.01%	Overall	68.99%
1.66%	KO	5.12%
10.21%	Sub	24.41%
19.14%	Decision	39.46%

Plays:
32.18% on Fight GTD at +225

UFC Fight Night Bisping vs Gastelum Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Michael Bisping (25.81%) vs Kelvin Gastelum (74.19%)

25.81%	Overall	74.19%
9.41%	KO	21.56%
0.09%	Sub	9.96%
16.31%	Decision	42.67%

Plays:

21.15% on Gastelum by Dec at +428

Li Jingliang (61.31%) vs Zak Ottow (38.69%)

61.31%	Overall	38.69%
7.96%	KO	5.40%
5.18%	Sub	1.23%
48.17%	Decision	32.06%

Plays:
7.25% on Jingliang by Dec at +145

Chase Sherman (55.87%) vs Shamil Abdurakhimov (44.13%)

55.87%	Overall	44.13%
30.93%	KO	19.35%
1.16%	Sub	2.34%
23.78%	Decision	22.43%

Plays:
10.84% on Sherman at +115

UFC Fight Night Werdum vs Tybura Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Fabricio Werdum (67.12%) vs Marcin Tybura (32.88%)

67.12%	Overall	32.88%
13.65%	KO	16.95%
14.98%	Sub	0.08%
38.49%	Decision	15.85%

Plays:

11.39% on Fight GTD at +150

Tim Means (57.39%) vs Belal Muhammad (42.61%)

57.39%	Overall	42.61%
17.44%	KO	5.81%
11.26%	Sub	1.91%
28.69%	Decision	34.89%

Plays:
4.36% on Muhammad at +180

Jake Matthews (63.04%) vs Bojan Velickovic (36.96%)

63.04%	Overall	36.96%
8.31%	KO	4.64%
13.40%	Sub	8.64%
41.33%	Decision	23.69%

Plays:

5.49% on Matthews at -135

Elias Theodorou (73.92%) vs Dan Kelly (26.08%)

73.92%	Overall	26.08%
4.37%	KO	7.82%
1.34%	Sub	0.21%
68.21%	Decision	18.05%

Plays:

14.44% on Theodorou by decision at -125

Nik Lentz (20.20%) vs Will Brooks (79.80%)

20.20%	Overall	79.80%
9.21%	KO	8.36%
0.72%	Sub	6.51%
10.27%	Decision	64.93%

Plays:

5.94% on Brooks by decision at -145

UFC Fight Night Poirier vs Pettis Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
*Note: Start of new prop bet model*

Dustin Poirier (56.76%) vs Anthony Pettis (43.24%)

56.76%	Overall	43.24%
22.10%	KO	10.50%
9.52%	Sub	20.22%
25.14%	Decision	12.52%

Plays:

.5.70% on Poirier at -105

Matt Brown (67.33%) vs Diego Sanchez (32.67%)

67.33%	Overall	32.67%
39.20%	KO	10.15%
0.97%	Sub	2.92%
27.17%	Decision	19.59%

Plays:
5.47% on Sanchez at +310

Nate Marquardt (31.19%) vs Cezar Ferreira (68.81%)

31.19%	Overall	68.81%
19.86%	KO	25.56%
0.92%	Sub	8.48%
10.40%	Decision	34.78%

Plays:

3.62% on Marquardt by KO/TKO at +650

Raphael Assuncao (66.40%) vs Matthew Lopez (33.60%)

66.40%	Overall	33.60%
12.28%	KO	18.10%
6.16%	Sub	3.16%
47.96%	Decision	12.34%

Plays:

5.97% on Lopez at +305

Joe Lauzon (50.30%) vs Clay Guida (49.70%)

50.30%	Overall	49.70%
17.33%	KO	9.82%
9.99%	Sub	1.09%
22.98%	Decision	38.79%

Plays:

1.17% on Lauzon by KO/TKO at +560

Angela Hill (69.01%) vs Nina Ansaroff (30.99%)

69.01%	Overall	30.99%
22.64%	KO	9.14%
0.40%	Sub	3.87%
45.97%	Decision	17.97%

Plays:

5.88% on Hill at -185

Court McGee (28.30%) vs Sean Strickland (71.70%)

28.30%	Overall	71.70%
10.74%	KO	8.36%
3.37%	Sub	3.04%
14.19%	Decision	60.30%

Plays:

10.88% on Fight GTD at -215