Friday, January 26, 2018

UFC Fight Night Souza vs Brunson Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Jacare Souza (49.23%) vs Derek Brunson (50.77%)

 49.23%
Overall
 50.77%
 30.41%
KO
48.55% 
 14.95%
Sub
0.00% 
 3.86%
Decision
2.23% 

Plays:
7.86% on Souza by KO/TKO at +441
Dennis Bermudez (56.53%) vs Andre Fili (43.47%)

 56.53%
Overall
43.47% 
 14.94%
KO
16.75% 
 9.53%
Sub
2.08% 
 32.06%
Decision
24.64% 

Plays:
0.80% on Bermudez ITD at +332
Erik Koch (34.11%) vs Bobby Green (65.89%)

 34.11%
Overall
65.89% 
 11.78%
KO
29.95% 
 6.90%
Sub
2.40% 
 15.43%
Decision
33.54% 

Plays:
10.16% on Green at -140

Mirsad Bektic (73.25%) vs Godofredo Pepey (26.75%)

73.25% 
Overall
26.75% 
 26.47%
KO
10.26% 
 10.07%
Sub
16.05% 
 36.70%
Decision
0.44% 

Plays:
5.77% on Pepey ITD at +487

Randa Markos (63.67%) vs Juliana Lima (36.33%)

 63.67%
Overall
36.33% 
 6.04%
KO
4.17% 
 5.80%
Sub
2.18% 
 51.82%
Decision
29.98% 

Plays:
5.66% on Markos at -145

Vinc Pichel (41.19%) vs Joaquim Silva (58.81%)

 41.19%
Overall
58.81% 
 1.67%
KO
7.57% 
 4.56%
Sub
8.01% 
 34.96%
Decision
43.23% 

Plays:
8.45% on Silva at -105

Friday, January 19, 2018

UFC 220 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Stipe Miocic (41.18%) vs Francis Ngannou (58.82%)

 41.18%
Overall
58.82% 
 34.27%
KO
56.53% 
 0.16%
Sub
1.81% 
 6.75%
Decision
0.47% 

Plays:
1.82% on Miocic at +165

Daniel Cormier (49.50%) vs Volkan Oezdemir (50.50%)

 49.50%
Overall
50.50% 
 18.66%
KO
45.16% 
 20.66%
Sub
0.01% 
 10.17%
Decision
5.33% 

Plays:
15.85% on Oezdemir at +295

Gian Villante (70.04%) vs Francimar Barroso (29.96%)

 70.04%
Overall
29.96% 
 35.49%
KO
12.16% 
 1.50%
Sub
2.13% 
 33.06%
Decision
15.67% 

Plays:
10.44% on Villante at -150

Thomas Almeida (62.52%) vs Rob Font (37.48%)

 62.52%
Overall
37.48% 
 11.21%
KO
11.34% 
 5.29%
Sub
2.19% 
 46.02%
Decision
23.95% 

Plays:
6.63% on Almeida at -120
Islam Makhachev (67.71%) vs Gleison Tibau (32.29%)

 67.71%
Overall
32.29% 
 35.86%
KO
15.62% 
 4.93%
Sub
4.31% 
 26.92%
Decision
16.23% 

Plays:
7.51% on Makhachev by KO/TKO at +390

Wednesday, January 10, 2018

UFC Fight Night Stephens vs Choi Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Jeremy Stephens (25.48%) vs Dooho Choi (74.52%)



 25.48%
Overall
74.52% 
 11.47%
KO
14.85% 
 0.19%
Sub
12.64% 
 13.82%
Decision
47.03% 

Plays:
20.96% on Choi at -165

Darren Elkins (36.04%) vs Michael Johnson (63.96%)

 36.04%
Overall
63.96% 
 10.20%
KO
25.13% 
 2.02%
Sub
0.09% 
 23.82%
Decision
38.74% 

Plays:
2.15% on Johnson by Dec at +180

James Krause (65.83%) vs Alex White (34.17%)

 65.83%
Overall
34.17% 
 6.18%
KO
6.13% 
 12.67%
Sub
1.56% 
 46.98%
Decision
26.48% 

Plays:
20.80% on Fight GTD at -155