Friday, January 19, 2018

UFC 220 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Stipe Miocic (41.18%) vs Francis Ngannou (58.82%)

 41.18%
Overall
58.82% 
 34.27%
KO
56.53% 
 0.16%
Sub
1.81% 
 6.75%
Decision
0.47% 

Plays:
1.82% on Miocic at +165

Daniel Cormier (49.50%) vs Volkan Oezdemir (50.50%)

 49.50%
Overall
50.50% 
 18.66%
KO
45.16% 
 20.66%
Sub
0.01% 
 10.17%
Decision
5.33% 

Plays:
15.85% on Oezdemir at +295

Gian Villante (70.04%) vs Francimar Barroso (29.96%)

 70.04%
Overall
29.96% 
 35.49%
KO
12.16% 
 1.50%
Sub
2.13% 
 33.06%
Decision
15.67% 

Plays:
10.44% on Villante at -150

Thomas Almeida (62.52%) vs Rob Font (37.48%)

 62.52%
Overall
37.48% 
 11.21%
KO
11.34% 
 5.29%
Sub
2.19% 
 46.02%
Decision
23.95% 

Plays:
6.63% on Almeida at -120
Islam Makhachev (67.71%) vs Gleison Tibau (32.29%)

 67.71%
Overall
32.29% 
 35.86%
KO
15.62% 
 4.93%
Sub
4.31% 
 26.92%
Decision
16.23% 

Plays:
7.51% on Makhachev by KO/TKO at +390

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