Friday, January 26, 2018

UFC Fight Night Souza vs Brunson Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Jacare Souza (49.23%) vs Derek Brunson (50.77%)

 49.23%
Overall
 50.77%
 30.41%
KO
48.55% 
 14.95%
Sub
0.00% 
 3.86%
Decision
2.23% 

Plays:
7.86% on Souza by KO/TKO at +441
Dennis Bermudez (56.53%) vs Andre Fili (43.47%)

 56.53%
Overall
43.47% 
 14.94%
KO
16.75% 
 9.53%
Sub
2.08% 
 32.06%
Decision
24.64% 

Plays:
0.80% on Bermudez ITD at +332
Erik Koch (34.11%) vs Bobby Green (65.89%)

 34.11%
Overall
65.89% 
 11.78%
KO
29.95% 
 6.90%
Sub
2.40% 
 15.43%
Decision
33.54% 

Plays:
10.16% on Green at -140

Mirsad Bektic (73.25%) vs Godofredo Pepey (26.75%)

73.25% 
Overall
26.75% 
 26.47%
KO
10.26% 
 10.07%
Sub
16.05% 
 36.70%
Decision
0.44% 

Plays:
5.77% on Pepey ITD at +487

Randa Markos (63.67%) vs Juliana Lima (36.33%)

 63.67%
Overall
36.33% 
 6.04%
KO
4.17% 
 5.80%
Sub
2.18% 
 51.82%
Decision
29.98% 

Plays:
5.66% on Markos at -145

Vinc Pichel (41.19%) vs Joaquim Silva (58.81%)

 41.19%
Overall
58.81% 
 1.67%
KO
7.57% 
 4.56%
Sub
8.01% 
 34.96%
Decision
43.23% 

Plays:
8.45% on Silva at -105

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