Thursday, February 1, 2018

UFC Fight Night Machida vs Anders Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Thiago Santos (63.48%) vs Anthony Smith (36.52%)

 63.48%
Overall
36.52% 
 36.29%
KO
11.82% 
 8.06%
Sub
15.97% 
 19.13%
Decision
8.74% 

Plays:
3.78% on Smith at +250

Sergio Moraes (36.07%) vs Tim Means (63.93%)

 36.07%
Overall
63.93% 
 8.93%
KO
14.12% 
 6.38%
Sub
1.36% 
 20.76%
Decision
48.45% 

Plays:
12.43% on Fight GTD at -130

Douglas Silva (32.62%) vs Marlon Vera (67.38%)

 32.62%
Overall
67.38% 
 9.51%
KO
14.63
 2.34%
Sub
23.35% 
 20.77%
Decision
29.40% 

Plays:
7.58% on Vera at -145

Iuri Alcantara (26.66%) vs Joe Soto (73.34%)

 26.66%
Overall
73.34% 
 3.99%
KO
36.69% 
 5.17%
Sub
8.10% 
 17.51%
Decision
28.54% 

Plays:
20.13% on Soto at -125

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