UFC 221 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Yoel Romero (32.94%) vs Luke Rockhold (67.06%)

32.94%	Overall	67.06%
25.32%	KO	29.44%
0.01%	Sub	14.70%
7.61%	Decision	22.92%

Plays:

0.82% on Rockhold at -155

Mark Hunt (20.86%) vs Curtis Blaydes (79.14%)

20.86%	Overall	79.14%
10.21%	KO	7.39%
0.07%	Sub	1.78%
10.58%	Decision	69.97%

Plays:
4.71% on Blaydes by decision at +170

Jake Matthews (46.40%) vs Li Jingliang (53.60%)

46.40%	Overall	53.60%
4.74%	KO	8.00%
9.16%	Sub	13.06%
32.50%	Decision	32.55%

Plays:

0.38% on Matthews at +140

Damien Brown (41.18%) vs Dong Hyun Kim (58.82%)

41.18%	Overall	58.82%
5.17%	KO	4.59%
4.70%	Sub	13.31%
31.32%	Decision	40.92%

Plays:

2.15% on Fight GTD at -140

Alexander Volkanovski (62.13%) vs Jeremy Kennedy (37.87%)

62.13%	Overall	37.87%
25.81%	KO	7.79%
5.42%	Sub	2.05%
30.90%	Decision	28.04%

Plays:

0.23% on Kennedy at +190

Jussier Formiga (45.75%) vs Ben Nguyen (54.25%)

45.75%	Overall	54.25%
10.20%	KO	33.65%
8.78%	Sub	1.31%
26.77%	Decision	19.28%

Plays:

0.74% on Nguyen by KO/TKO at +350

Ross Pearson (61.53%) vs Mizuto Hirota (38.47%)

61.53%	Overall	38.47%
13.06%	KO	7.15%
2.96%	Sub	0.56%
45.52%	Decision	30.76%

 Plays:
0.88% on Fight GTD at -250

Teruto Ishihara (49.98%) vs Jose Quinonez (50.02%)

49.98%	Overall	50.02%
2.50%	KO	2.63%
1.22%	Sub	3.67%
46.26%	Decision	43.72%

 Plays:

12.18% on Fight GTD at -160