Friday, February 23, 2018

UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Stephens Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Josh Emmett (44.65%) vs Jeremy Stephens (55.35%)

 44.65%
Overall
55.35% 
 12.18%
KO
15.15% 
 4.14%
Sub
1.71% 
 28.33%
Decision
38.49% 



Plays:
20.49% on Fight GTD at +170

Jessica Andrade (73.74%) vs Tecia Torres (26.26%)

73.74%
Overall
26.26% 
 4.04%
KO
8.88% 
 10.99%
Sub
0.37% 
 58.71%
Decision
17.01% 


Plays:
None

Ovince Saint Preux (61.35%) vs Ilir Latifi (38.65%)

 61.35%
Overall
38.65% 
 23.63%
KO
17.09% 
 19.92%
Sub
1.81% 
 17.80%
Decision
19.74% 



Plays:
1.12% on Saint Preux by Sub at +525

Mike Perry (70.36%) vs Max Griffin (29.64%)

 70.36%
Overall
29.64% 
 48.20%
KO
10.00% 
 0.07%
Sub
2.30% 
 22.09%
Decision
17.34% 


Plays:
1.89% on Griffin at +320

Renan Barao (53.62%) vs Brian Kelleher (46.38%)

 53.62%
Overall
46.38% 
 17.69%
KO
27.62% 
 16.66%
Sub
4.32% 
 19.27%
Decision
14.44% 


Plays:
4.51% on Kelleher by KO/TKO at +650

Sara McMann (64.71%) vs Marion Reneau (35.29%)

 64.71%
Overall
35.29% 
 2.98%
KO
18.82% 
 1.72%
Sub
2.52% 
 60.01%
Decision
13.95% 


Plays:
2.40% on Reneau by KO/TKO at +873

Maryna Moroz (46.38%) vs Angela Hill (54.17%)

 46.38%
Overall
54.17% 
 6.63%
KO
3.22% 
 7.52%
Sub
0.22% 
 13.95%
Decision
50.73% 


Plays:
3.05% on Moroz at +155

Ben Saunders (31.48%) vs Alan Jouban (68.52%)

 31.48%
Overall
68.52% 
 12.97%
KO
40.61% 
 6.43%
Sub
0.29% 
 12.09%
Decision
27.62% 


Plays:
1.38% on Jouban by decision at +330

Rani Yayha (61.81%) vs Russell Doane (38.19%)

 61.81%
Overall
38.19% 
 5.95%
KO
15.49% 
 20.40%
Sub
0.82% 
 35.42%
Decision
21.88% 


Plays:
6.33% on Fight GTD at +120

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