Saturday, March 3, 2018

UFC 222 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Frankie Edgar (42.91%) vs Brian Ortega (57.09%)

 42.91%
Overall
57.09% 
 3.33%
KO
14.86% 
 0.17%
Sub
16.93% 
 39.41%
Decision
25.30% 



Plays:
11.91% on Ortega at +135

Stefan Struve (66.51%) vs Andrei Arlovski (33.49%)

 66.51%
Overall
33.49% 
 36.18%
KO
20.80% 
 14.70%
Sub
1.02% 
 15.63%
Decision
11.68% 


Plays:
3.72% on Struve at -170

Cat Zingano (32.45%) vs Ketlen Viera (67.55%)

32.45% 
Overall
67.55% 
 12.40%
KO
18.15% 
 3.64%
Sub
 15.21%
 16.41%
Decision
34.19% 


Plays:
7.60% on Fight DGTD at +160

John Dodson (47.77%) vs Pedro Munhoz (52.23%)

 47.77%
Overall
52.23% 
 11.79%
KO
14.85% 
 0.60%
Sub
10.00% 
 35.39%
Decision
27.38% 


Plays:
5.73% on Munhoz at +125

CB Dollaway (48.07%) vs Hector Lombard (51.93%)

 48.07%
Overall
51.93% 
 24.42%
KO
34.86% 
 3.73%
Sub
7.94% 
 19.92%
Decision
9.14% 



Plays:
2.09% on Dollaway by KO/TKO at +402

Mike Pyle (22.09%) vs Zak Ottow (77.91%)


 22.09%
Overall
77.91% 
 13.94%
KO
23.24% 
 1.99%
Sub
12.79% 
 6.15%
Decision
41.88% 


Plays:
9.90% on Ottow by decision at +292



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