Saturday, May 26, 2018

UFC Fight Night Thompson vs Till Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Stephen Thompson (49.82%) vs Darren Till (50.18%)

 49.82%
Overall
50.18% 
 25.94%
KO
33.01% 
 0.11%
Sub
0.02% 
 23.78%
Decision
17.15% 


Plays:
3.94% on Till at +115

Jason Knight (56.78%) vs Makwan Amirkhani (43.22%)

 56.78%
Overall
43.22% 
 9.91%
KO
10.61% 
 27.27%
Sub
6.75% 
 19.60%
Decision
25.85% 


Plays:
3.03% on Amirkhani at +150

Eric Spicely (51.80%) vs Darren Stewart (48.20%)

51.80% 
Overall
48.20% 
 7.23%
KO
4.46% 
 22.47%
Sub
0.83% 
 22.10%
Decision
42.91% 


Plays:
7.63% on Stewart at +145

Dan Kelly (22.42%) vs Tom Breese (77.58%)

 22.42%
Overall
77.58% 
 4.31%
KO
20.24% 
 0.04%
Sub
10.29% 
 18.07%
Decision
47.05% 


Plays:
None

Elias Theodorou (85.70%) vs Trevor Smith (14.30%)

 85.70%
Overall
14.30% 
 9.12%
KO
3.79% 
 0.15%
Sub
0.49% 
 76.42%
Decision
10.01% 


Plays:
23.64% on Theodorou at -385

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