UFC Fight Night Brunson vs Machida Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*


Derek Brunson (68.88%) vs Lyoto Machida (31.12%)

68.88%	Overall	31.12%
46.69%	KO	22.95%
6.16%	Sub	2.12%
16.03%	Decision	6.04%

Plays:

2.33% on Brunson at -155

Demian Maia (30.99%) vs Colby Covington (69.01%)

30.99%	Overall	69.01%
11.20%	KO	12.87%
5.46%	Sub	2.97%
14.33%	Decision	53.17%

Plays:
3.89% on Covington at -125

Pedro Munhoz (39.66%) vs Rob Font (60.34%)

39.66%	Overall	60.34%
4.40%	KO	7.21%
6.90%	Sub	7.84%
28.36%	Decision	45.30%

Plays:

6.16% on Fight GTD at -125

Francisco Trinaldo (56.98%) vs Jim Miller (43.02%)

56.98%	Overall	43.02%
16.90%	KO	18.16%
4.65%	Sub	5.72%
35.43%	Decision	19.14%

Plays:

1.15% on Miller at +180

Thiago Santos (39.12%) vs Jack Hermansson (60.88%)

39.12%	Overall	60.88%
10.37%	KO	15.12%
3.12%	Sub	3.43%
25.63%	Decision	42.34%

Plays:
10.78% on Fight GTD at +240

John Lineker (80.46%) vs Marlon Vera (19.54%)

80.46%	Overall	19.54%
21.90%	KO	5.53%
22.04%	Sub	8.80%
36.53%	Decision	5.21%

Plays:

1.81% on Lineker by Sub at +1500

Antonio Carlos Junior (65.33%) vs Jack Marshman (34.67%)

65.33%	Overall	34.67%
3.72%	KO	3.77%
10.32%	Sub	4.70%
51.29%	Decision	26.20%

Plays:

2.01% on Marshman at +400