UFC 216 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Tony Ferguson (56.40%) vs Kevin Lee (43.60%)

56.40%	Overall	43.60%
26.34%	KO	15.45%
14.04%	Sub	9.76%
16.03%	Decision	18.38%

Plays:

4.37% on Lee at +220

Demetrious Johnson (91.52%) vs Ray Borg (8.48%)

91.52%	Overall	8.48%
16.17%	KO	2.01%
12.05%	Sub	2.62%
63.31%	Decision	3.85%

Plays:
14.29% on Johnson by Dec at +170

Fabricio Werdum (59.26%) vs Derrick Lewis (40.74%)

59.26%	Overall	40.74%
15.37%	KO	11.09%
8.54%	Sub	3.04%
35.35%	Decision	26.61%

Plays:

3.36% on Lewis at +225

10.18% on Fight GTD at +135

Beneil Dariush (69.39%) vs Evan Dunham (30.61%)

69.39%	Overall	30.61%
33.00%	KO	12.33%
7.48%	Sub	4.89%
28.91%	Decision	13.39%

Plays:
4.41% on Dariush by KO/TKO at +450

Lando Vannata (72.88%) vs Bobby Green (27.12%)

72.88%	Overall	27.12%
23.04%	KO	9.23%
12.55%	Sub	3.87%
37.29%	Decision	14.02%

Plays:

None

Thales Leites (34.37%) vs Brad Tavares (65.63%)

.2

34.37%	Overall	65.63%
8.67%	KO	20.51%
6.87%	Sub	5.95%
18.83%	Decision	39.17%

Plays:

2.24% on Tavares ITD at +449