Friday, December 9, 2016

UFC 206 Holloway vs Pettis Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
Max Holloway (62.33%) vs Anthony Pettis (37.67%)


 62.33%
Overall 
37.67% 
 16.71%
 KO/TKO
3.33% 
 3.56%
 Sub
7.71% 
 42.05%
 Decision
26.63% 

Plays:
Fight GTD @ -125

Donald Cerrone (60.20%) vs Matt Brown (39.80%)

 60.20%
Overall 
39.80% 
 14.78%
 KO/TKO
20.46% 
 16.03%
 Sub
6.79% 
 29.39%
 Decision
12.54% 

Plays:
Brown @ +230

Cub Swanson (17.28%) vs Dooho Choi (82.72%)

 17.28%
Overall 
82.72% 
 0.88%
 KO/TKO
6.55% 
 4.37%
 Sub
3.83% 
 12.03%
 Decision
72.34% 

Plays:
Fight GTD @ +140
Choi by Dec @ +287
(Model probably underrating Choi's power on small sample, but value is still there)

Tim Kennedy (44.83%) vs Kelvin Gastelum (55.17%)

 44.83%
Overall 
55.17% 
 1.74%
 KO/TKO
4.60% 
 13.45%
 Sub
3.69% 
 29.63%
 Decision
46.89% 

Plays:
Gastelum @ +115

Olivier Aubin-Mercier (56.22%) vs Drew Dober (43.78%)

 56.22%
Overall 
43.78% 
 2.00%
 KO/TKO
13.61% 
 23.17%
 Sub
8.24% 
 31.05%
 Decision
21.93% 

Plays:
Aubin-Mercier by Sub @ +440

Jason Saggo (32.09%) vs Rustam Khabilov (67.91%)

 32.09%
Overall 
67.91% 
 0.31%
 KO/TKO
3.86% 
 9.41%
 Sub
23.56% 
 22.37%
 Decision
40.48% 

Plays:
Khavilov by Sub +586

Zach Makovsky (49.17%) vs Dustin Ortiz (50.83%)

 49.17%
Overall 
50.83% 
 2.93%
 KO/TKO
1.13% 
 15.47%
 Sub
3.25% 
 30.78%
 Decision
46.45% 

Plays:
Ortiz @ +140
Makovsky by Sub +689

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