Thursday, July 6, 2017

UFC TUF 25 Finale Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Elias Theodorou (48.35%) vs Brad Tavares (51.65%)


 48.35%
Overall
51.65% 
 11.17%
KO/TKO
9.84% 
 6.80%
Sub
6.88% 
 30.38%
Decision
34.93% 


Plays:
None

Ed Herman (38.20%) vs CB Dollaway (61.80%)

 38.20%
Overall
61.80% 
 20.90%
KO/TKO
 41.07%
 9.43%
Sub
 6.83%
 7.87%
Decision
 13.91%

Plays:
22.34% on Fight DGTD at -160

Gray Maynard (13.13%) vs Teruto Ishihara (86.87%)

 13.13%
Overall
86.87% 
 2.09%
KO/TKO
24.69% 
 1.15%
Sub
5.73% 
 9.89%
Decision
56.44%

Plays:
22.22% on Ishihara by Dec at +330

Tecia Torres (80.69%) vs Juliana Lima (19.31%)

 80.69%
Overall
19.31% 
 17.50%
KO/TKO
2.07% 
 3.51%
Sub
1.36% 
 59.68%
Decision
15.89% 

Plays:
2.97% on Torres at -370

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