UFC on Fox 25 Weidman vs Gastelum Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Chris Weidman (33.08%) vs Kelvin Gastelum (66.92%)

33.08%	Overall	66.92%
6.25%	KO	26.09%
7.88%	Sub	6.96%
18.94%	Decision	33.88%

Plays:

7.74% on Gastelum at -160

Dennis Bermudez (63.82%) vs Darren Elkins (36.18%)

63.82%	Overall	36.18%
23.05%	KO	14.04%
11.36%	Sub	8.43%
29.41%	Decision	13.71%

Plays:

4.61% on under 2 1/2 rounds at +225

Patrick Cummins (32.03%) vs Gian Villante (67.97%)

32.03%	Overall	67.97%
9.59%	KO	45.09%
2.99%	Sub	5.91%
19.45%	Decision	16.97%

Plays:

4.41% on Villante by KO at +150

Jimmie Rivera (49.94%) vs Thomas Almeida (50.06%)

49.94%	Overall	50.06%
14.81%	KO	18.75%
5.48%	Sub	5.15%
29.65%	Decision	26.17%

Plays:

13.05% on Almeida at +175

Ryan LaFlare (55.50%) vs Alex Oliveira (44.50%) 

55.50%	Overall	44.50%
19.74%	KO	12.01%
6.78%	Sub	10.76%
28.97%	Decision	21.73%

Plays:

2.21% on under 2 1/2 rounds at +220

Chris Wade (63.53%) vs Frankie Perez (36.47%)

63.53%	Overall	36.47%
9.54%	KO	7.97%
15.93%	Sub	6.58%
38.06%	Decision	21.93%

Plays:

6.22% on Perez at +255