*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Tyron Woodley (50.38%) vs Darren Till (49.62%)
Plays:
4.01% on Woodley at +130
Zabit Magomedsharipov (68.28%) vs Brandon Davis (31.72%)
Plays:
8.94% on Davis at +850
Jessica Andrade (82.38%) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz (17.62%)
Plays:
None
Abdul Razak Alhassan (64.90%) vs Niko Price (35.10%)
Plays:
8.50% on Alhassan at -120
Aljamain Sterling (47.74%) vs Cody Stamann (52.26%)
Plays:
6.39% on Stamann at +140
Jimmie Rivera (57.56%) vs John Dodson (42.44%)
Plays:
None
Jim Miller (34.60%) vs Alex White (65.40%)
Plays:
4.49% on White at -150
Irene Aldana (39.32%) vs Lucie Pudilova (60.68%)
Plays:
7.82% on Pudilova at +100
Scouting the NFL draft using statistical analysis. Follow me on twitter, @BrendanMcAdoo
Friday, September 7, 2018
Friday, August 24, 2018
UFC Fight Night Gaethje vs Vick Fight Projections
*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Justin Gaethje (56.12%) vs James Vick (43.88%)
Plays:
1.12% on Gaethje at +125
Michael Johnson (15.80%) vs Andre Fili (84.20%)
Plays:
8.16% on Fili at -115
Cortney Casey (35.24%) vs Angela Hill (64.76%)
Plays:
1.10% on Hill at -125
Jake Ellenberger (19.60%) vs Bryan Barberena (80.40%)
Plays:
None
John Moraga (19.34%) vs Deiveson Figueiredo (80.66%)
Plays:
4.48% on Figueiredo at -150
4.48% on Figueiredo at -150
James Krause (15.66%) vs Warlley Alves (84.34%)
Plays:
None
None
Mickey Gall (78.52%) vs George Sullivan (21.48%)
Plays:
2.04% on Gall at -320
Drew Dober (65.22%) vs Jon Tuck (34.78%)
Plays:
None
Rani Yayha (31.74%) vs Luke Sanders (68.26%)
Plays:
2.73% on Sanders at +110
Friday, August 3, 2018
UFC 227 Fight Projections
*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
TJ Dillashaw (42.90%) vs Cody Garbrandt (57.10%)
Plays:
9.24% on Garbrandt at +110
Demetrious Johnson (87.66%) vs Henry Cejudo (12.34%)
Plays:
22.13% on Johnson at -430
Cub Swanson (19.94%) vs Renato Moicano (80.06%)
Plays:
11.29% on Moicano at -295
Pedro Munhoz (64.96%) vs Brett Johns (35.04%)
Plays:
0.36% on Johns at +190
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
TJ Dillashaw (42.90%) vs Cody Garbrandt (57.10%)
Plays:
9.24% on Garbrandt at +110
Demetrious Johnson (87.66%) vs Henry Cejudo (12.34%)
Plays:
22.13% on Johnson at -430
Cub Swanson (19.94%) vs Renato Moicano (80.06%)
Plays:
11.29% on Moicano at -295
Pedro Munhoz (64.96%) vs Brett Johns (35.04%)
Plays:
0.36% on Johns at +190
Friday, July 27, 2018
UFC Fight Night Alvarez vs Poirier Fight Projections
*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Eddie Alvarez (16.46%) vs Dustin Poirier (83.54%)
Plays:
6.82% on Poirier at -160
Jose Aldo (50.76%) vs Jeremy Stephens (49.24%)
Plays:
None
Joanna Jedrzejczyk (83.00%) vs Tecia Torres (17.00%)
Plays:
2.80% on Jedrzejczyk at -280
Jordan Mein (44.86%) vs Alex Morono (55.14%)
Plays:
None
Kajan Johnson (35.10%) vs Islam Makhachev (64.90%)
Plays:
1.46% on Johnson at +505
John Makdessi (89.38%) vs Ross Pearson (10.62%)
Plays:
11.19% on Makdessi at -195
Alexis Davis (30.94%) vs Katlyn Chookagian (69.06%)
Plays:
1.63% on Chookagian at -145
Dustin Ortiz (40.22%) vs Matheus Nicolau (59.78%)
Plays:
None
Randa Markos (38.38%) vs Nina Ansaroff (61.62%)
Plays:
None
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Eddie Alvarez (16.46%) vs Dustin Poirier (83.54%)
Plays:
6.82% on Poirier at -160
Jose Aldo (50.76%) vs Jeremy Stephens (49.24%)
Plays:
None
Joanna Jedrzejczyk (83.00%) vs Tecia Torres (17.00%)
Plays:
2.80% on Jedrzejczyk at -280
Jordan Mein (44.86%) vs Alex Morono (55.14%)
Plays:
None
Kajan Johnson (35.10%) vs Islam Makhachev (64.90%)
Plays:
1.46% on Johnson at +505
John Makdessi (89.38%) vs Ross Pearson (10.62%)
Plays:
11.19% on Makdessi at -195
Alexis Davis (30.94%) vs Katlyn Chookagian (69.06%)
Plays:
1.63% on Chookagian at -145
Dustin Ortiz (40.22%) vs Matheus Nicolau (59.78%)
Plays:
None
Randa Markos (38.38%) vs Nina Ansaroff (61.62%)
Plays:
None
Saturday, July 21, 2018
UFC Fight Night Rua vs Smith Fight Projections
*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Shogua Rua (19.42%) vs Anthony Smith (80.58%)
Plays:
29.86% on Smith at -190
Glover Teixeira (50.06%) vs Corey Anderson (49.94%)
Plays:
6.36% on Anderson at +140
6.36% on Anderson at +140
Marcin Tybura (76.56%) vs Stefan Struve (23.44%)
Plays:
9.11% on Tybura at -245
9.11% on Tybura at -245
Nick Hein (58.30%) vs Damir Hadzovic (41.70%)
Plays:
0.58% on Hadzovic at +145
Friday, July 13, 2018
UFC Fight Night Dos Santos vs Ivanov Fight Projections
*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Sage Northcutt (39.68%) vs Zak Ottow (60.32%)
Plays:
2.55% on Ottow at +130
Dennis Bermudez (70.38%) vs Rick Glenn (29.62%)
Plays:
None
Niko Price (48.72%) vs Randy Brown (51.28%)
Plays:
None
Chad Mendes (23.08%) vs Myles Jury (76.92%)
Plays:
8.47% on Jury at +125
Cat Zingano (69.14%) vs Marion Reneau (30.86%)
Plays:
3.97% on Zingano at +105
Alejandro Perez (70.74%) vs Eddie Wineland (29.26%)
Plays:
1.74% on Perez at -165
Alex Volkanovski (88.38%) vs Darren Elkins (11.62%)
Plays:
7.61% on Volkanovski at -280
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Sage Northcutt (39.68%) vs Zak Ottow (60.32%)
Plays:
2.55% on Ottow at +130
Dennis Bermudez (70.38%) vs Rick Glenn (29.62%)
Plays:
None
Niko Price (48.72%) vs Randy Brown (51.28%)
Plays:
None
Chad Mendes (23.08%) vs Myles Jury (76.92%)
Plays:
8.47% on Jury at +125
Cat Zingano (69.14%) vs Marion Reneau (30.86%)
Plays:
3.97% on Zingano at +105
Alejandro Perez (70.74%) vs Eddie Wineland (29.26%)
Plays:
1.74% on Perez at -165
Alex Volkanovski (88.38%) vs Darren Elkins (11.62%)
Plays:
7.61% on Volkanovski at -280
Friday, July 6, 2018
UFC 226 Fight Projections
*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Stipe Miocic (70.44%) vs Daniel Cormier (27.78%)
Plays:
0.77% on Miocic at -210
Francis Ngannou (87.82%) vs Derrick Lewis (12.18%)
Plays:
7.46% on Ngannou at -335
Michael Chiesa (38.62%) vs Anthony Pettis (61.38%)
Plays:
4.10% on Pettis at +135
Uriah Hall (35.50%) vs Paulo Costa (64.50%)
Plays:
1.67% on Hall at +340
Mike Perry (64.94%) vs Paul Felder (35.06%)
Plays:
5.37% on Perry at +135
Raphael Assuncao (50.06%) vs Rob Font (49.94%)
Plays:
1.80% on Font at +155
Dan Hooker (59.36) vs Gilbert Burns (40.64%)
Plays:
1.22% on Hooker at -115
Lando Vannata (43.26%) vs Drakkar Klose (56.74%)
Plays:
3.55% on Klose at +160
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Stipe Miocic (70.44%) vs Daniel Cormier (27.78%)
Plays:
0.77% on Miocic at -210
Francis Ngannou (87.82%) vs Derrick Lewis (12.18%)
Plays:
7.46% on Ngannou at -335
Michael Chiesa (38.62%) vs Anthony Pettis (61.38%)
Plays:
4.10% on Pettis at +135
Uriah Hall (35.50%) vs Paulo Costa (64.50%)
Plays:
1.67% on Hall at +340
Mike Perry (64.94%) vs Paul Felder (35.06%)
Plays:
5.37% on Perry at +135
Raphael Assuncao (50.06%) vs Rob Font (49.94%)
Plays:
1.80% on Font at +155
Dan Hooker (59.36) vs Gilbert Burns (40.64%)
Plays:
1.22% on Hooker at -115
Lando Vannata (43.26%) vs Drakkar Klose (56.74%)
Plays:
3.55% on Klose at +160
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