UFC 212 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Jose Aldo (48.64%) vs Max Holloway (51.36%)

48.64%	Overall	51.36%
5.80%	KO/TKO	13.73%
3.04%	Sub	1.08%
39.80%	Decision	36.55%

Plays:

13.94% on Holloway @ +130

Claudia Gadelha (71.23%) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz (28.77%)

71.23%	Overall	28.77%
11.50%	KO/TKO	3.03%
11.41%	Sub	0.61%
48.33%	Decision	25.12%

Plays:

None

Vitor Belfort (54.26%) vs Nate Marquardt (45.74%)

54.26%	Overall	45.74%
37.29%	KO/TKO	28.30%
10.04%	Sub	6.32%
6.93%	Decision	11.12%

Plays:

9.57% on Marquardt @ +150

Erick Silva (36.74%) vs Yancy Medeiros (63.26%)

36.74%	Overall	63.26%
11.91%	KO/TKO	27.93%
11.01%	Sub	11.08%
13.82%	Decision	24.26%

Plays:

11.82% on Medeiros @ -140