Friday, June 9, 2017

UFC Fight Night Hunt vs Lewis Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Derrick Lewis (76.23%) vs Mark Hunt (23.77%)

 76.23%
Overall
23.77% 
 31.51%
KO/TKO
19.71% 
 2.01%
Sub
0.23% 
 42.70%
Decision
3.83% 

Plays:
21.04% on Lewis at -135

Derek Brunson (69.26%) vs Daniel Kelly (30.74%)

 69.26%
Overall
30.74% 
 20.18%
KO/TKO
5.48% 
 18.44%
Sub
2.22% 
 30.64%
Decision
23.04% 

Plays:
None

Dan Hooker (63.83%) vs Ross Pearson (36.17%)

 63.83%
Overall
36.17% 
 12.99%
KO/TKO
5.03% 
 9.55%
Sub
1.43% 
 41.29%
Decision
29.71% 

Plays:
4.70% on Hooker at -135

Tim Elliott (60.08%) vs Ben Nguyen (39.92%)

 60.08%
Overall
39.92% 
 2.57%
KO/TKO
4.57% 
 23.46%
Sub
1.82% 
 34.04%
Decision
33.53% 

Plays:
None

Damien Brown (38.55%) vs Vinc Pichel (61.45%)

 38.55%
Overall
61.45% 
 1.93%
KO/TKO
1.45% 
 9.77%
Sub
45.94% 
 26.84%
Decision
14.06% 

Plays:
8.75% on Pichel at +105

Dong Hyun Kim (66.14%) vs Thibault Gouti (33.86%) 

 66.14%
Overall
33.86% 
 14.88%
KO/TKO
 2.65%
 25.14%
Sub
9.06% 
 26.12%
Decision
22.16% 

Plays:
9.12% on Kim at -120

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