*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Khabib Nurmagomedov (51.18%) vs Conor McGregor (48.82%)
Plays:
2.26% on McGregor at +165
Tony Ferguson (86.98%) vs Anthony Pettis (13.02%)
Plays:
None
Ovince Saint Preux (17.30%) vs Dominick Reyes (82.70%)
Plays:
7.86% on Reyes at -230
Derrick Lewis (25.86%) vs Alexander Volkov (74.14%)
Plays:
5.09% on Volkov at -160
Michelle Waterson (54.96%) vs Felice Herrig (45.04%)
Plays:
1.43% on Waterson at +105
Sergio Pettis (78.00%) vs Jussier Formiga (22.00%)
Plays:
8.55% on Pettis at -150
Scott Holtzman (51.64%) vs Alan Patrick (48.36%)
Plays:
4.81% on Holtzman at +240
Gray Maynard (25.06%) vs Nik Lentz (74.94%)
Plays:
None
Ryan LaFlare (57.76%) vs Tony Martin (42.24%)
Plays:
None
Scouting the NFL draft using statistical analysis. Follow me on twitter, @BrendanMcAdoo
Friday, October 5, 2018
UFC Fight Night Santos vs Anders Fight Projections
*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Thiago Santos (71.62%) vs Eryk Anders (28.38%)
Plays:
6.53% on Santos at -165
Sam Alvey (91.32%) vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (8.68%)
Plays:
32.06% on Alvey at -340
Charles Oliveira (77.86%) vs Christos Giagos (22.14%)
Plays:
None
Fransisco Trinaldo (53.14%) vs Evan Dunham (46.86%)
Plays:
3.56% on Dunham at +168
Sergio Moraes (61.54%) vs Ben Saunders (38.46%)
Plays:
3.05% on Saunders at +245
Thales Leites (50.62%) vs Hector Lombard (49.38%)
Plays:
1.29% on Lombard at +117
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Thiago Santos (71.62%) vs Eryk Anders (28.38%)
Plays:
6.53% on Santos at -165
Sam Alvey (91.32%) vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (8.68%)
Plays:
32.06% on Alvey at -340
Charles Oliveira (77.86%) vs Christos Giagos (22.14%)
Plays:
None
Fransisco Trinaldo (53.14%) vs Evan Dunham (46.86%)
Plays:
3.56% on Dunham at +168
Sergio Moraes (61.54%) vs Ben Saunders (38.46%)
Plays:
3.05% on Saunders at +245
Thales Leites (50.62%) vs Hector Lombard (49.38%)
Plays:
1.29% on Lombard at +117
Friday, September 14, 2018
UFC Fight Night Hunt vs Oleinik Fight Projections
*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Mark Hunt (68.46%) vs Aleksei Oleinik (31.54%)
Plays:
9.37% on Hunt at -125
Jan Blachowicz (21.42%) vs Nikita Krylov (78.58%)
Plays:
19.87% on Krylov at -150
Andrei Arlovski (47.78%) vs Shamil Abdurakhimov (52.22%)
Plays:
1.46% on Arlovski at +125
Rustam Khabilov (61.62%) vs Kajan Johnson (38.38%)
Plays:
8.96% on Johnson at +600
Mairbek Taisumov (72.04%) vs Desmond Green (27.96%)
Plays:
2.78% on Green at +420
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Mark Hunt (68.46%) vs Aleksei Oleinik (31.54%)
Plays:
9.37% on Hunt at -125
Jan Blachowicz (21.42%) vs Nikita Krylov (78.58%)
Plays:
19.87% on Krylov at -150
Andrei Arlovski (47.78%) vs Shamil Abdurakhimov (52.22%)
Plays:
1.46% on Arlovski at +125
Rustam Khabilov (61.62%) vs Kajan Johnson (38.38%)
Plays:
8.96% on Johnson at +600
Mairbek Taisumov (72.04%) vs Desmond Green (27.96%)
Plays:
2.78% on Green at +420
Friday, September 7, 2018
UFC 228 Fight Projections
*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Tyron Woodley (50.38%) vs Darren Till (49.62%)
Plays:
4.01% on Woodley at +130
Zabit Magomedsharipov (68.28%) vs Brandon Davis (31.72%)
Plays:
8.94% on Davis at +850
Jessica Andrade (82.38%) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz (17.62%)
Plays:
None
Abdul Razak Alhassan (64.90%) vs Niko Price (35.10%)
Plays:
8.50% on Alhassan at -120
Aljamain Sterling (47.74%) vs Cody Stamann (52.26%)
Plays:
6.39% on Stamann at +140
Jimmie Rivera (57.56%) vs John Dodson (42.44%)
Plays:
None
Jim Miller (34.60%) vs Alex White (65.40%)
Plays:
4.49% on White at -150
Irene Aldana (39.32%) vs Lucie Pudilova (60.68%)
Plays:
7.82% on Pudilova at +100
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Tyron Woodley (50.38%) vs Darren Till (49.62%)
Plays:
4.01% on Woodley at +130
Zabit Magomedsharipov (68.28%) vs Brandon Davis (31.72%)
Plays:
8.94% on Davis at +850
Jessica Andrade (82.38%) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz (17.62%)
Plays:
None
Abdul Razak Alhassan (64.90%) vs Niko Price (35.10%)
Plays:
8.50% on Alhassan at -120
Aljamain Sterling (47.74%) vs Cody Stamann (52.26%)
Plays:
6.39% on Stamann at +140
Jimmie Rivera (57.56%) vs John Dodson (42.44%)
Plays:
None
Jim Miller (34.60%) vs Alex White (65.40%)
Plays:
4.49% on White at -150
Irene Aldana (39.32%) vs Lucie Pudilova (60.68%)
Plays:
7.82% on Pudilova at +100
Friday, August 24, 2018
UFC Fight Night Gaethje vs Vick Fight Projections
*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Justin Gaethje (56.12%) vs James Vick (43.88%)
Plays:
1.12% on Gaethje at +125
Michael Johnson (15.80%) vs Andre Fili (84.20%)
Plays:
8.16% on Fili at -115
Cortney Casey (35.24%) vs Angela Hill (64.76%)
Plays:
1.10% on Hill at -125
Jake Ellenberger (19.60%) vs Bryan Barberena (80.40%)
Plays:
None
John Moraga (19.34%) vs Deiveson Figueiredo (80.66%)
Plays:
4.48% on Figueiredo at -150
4.48% on Figueiredo at -150
James Krause (15.66%) vs Warlley Alves (84.34%)
Plays:
None
None
Mickey Gall (78.52%) vs George Sullivan (21.48%)
Plays:
2.04% on Gall at -320
Drew Dober (65.22%) vs Jon Tuck (34.78%)
Plays:
None
Rani Yayha (31.74%) vs Luke Sanders (68.26%)
Plays:
2.73% on Sanders at +110
Friday, August 3, 2018
UFC 227 Fight Projections
*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
TJ Dillashaw (42.90%) vs Cody Garbrandt (57.10%)
Plays:
9.24% on Garbrandt at +110
Demetrious Johnson (87.66%) vs Henry Cejudo (12.34%)
Plays:
22.13% on Johnson at -430
Cub Swanson (19.94%) vs Renato Moicano (80.06%)
Plays:
11.29% on Moicano at -295
Pedro Munhoz (64.96%) vs Brett Johns (35.04%)
Plays:
0.36% on Johns at +190
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
TJ Dillashaw (42.90%) vs Cody Garbrandt (57.10%)
Plays:
9.24% on Garbrandt at +110
Demetrious Johnson (87.66%) vs Henry Cejudo (12.34%)
Plays:
22.13% on Johnson at -430
Cub Swanson (19.94%) vs Renato Moicano (80.06%)
Plays:
11.29% on Moicano at -295
Pedro Munhoz (64.96%) vs Brett Johns (35.04%)
Plays:
0.36% on Johns at +190
Friday, July 27, 2018
UFC Fight Night Alvarez vs Poirier Fight Projections
*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Eddie Alvarez (16.46%) vs Dustin Poirier (83.54%)
Plays:
6.82% on Poirier at -160
Jose Aldo (50.76%) vs Jeremy Stephens (49.24%)
Plays:
None
Joanna Jedrzejczyk (83.00%) vs Tecia Torres (17.00%)
Plays:
2.80% on Jedrzejczyk at -280
Jordan Mein (44.86%) vs Alex Morono (55.14%)
Plays:
None
Kajan Johnson (35.10%) vs Islam Makhachev (64.90%)
Plays:
1.46% on Johnson at +505
John Makdessi (89.38%) vs Ross Pearson (10.62%)
Plays:
11.19% on Makdessi at -195
Alexis Davis (30.94%) vs Katlyn Chookagian (69.06%)
Plays:
1.63% on Chookagian at -145
Dustin Ortiz (40.22%) vs Matheus Nicolau (59.78%)
Plays:
None
Randa Markos (38.38%) vs Nina Ansaroff (61.62%)
Plays:
None
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
Eddie Alvarez (16.46%) vs Dustin Poirier (83.54%)
Plays:
6.82% on Poirier at -160
Jose Aldo (50.76%) vs Jeremy Stephens (49.24%)
Plays:
None
Joanna Jedrzejczyk (83.00%) vs Tecia Torres (17.00%)
Plays:
2.80% on Jedrzejczyk at -280
Jordan Mein (44.86%) vs Alex Morono (55.14%)
Plays:
None
Kajan Johnson (35.10%) vs Islam Makhachev (64.90%)
Plays:
1.46% on Johnson at +505
John Makdessi (89.38%) vs Ross Pearson (10.62%)
Plays:
11.19% on Makdessi at -195
Alexis Davis (30.94%) vs Katlyn Chookagian (69.06%)
Plays:
1.63% on Chookagian at -145
Dustin Ortiz (40.22%) vs Matheus Nicolau (59.78%)
Plays:
None
Randa Markos (38.38%) vs Nina Ansaroff (61.62%)
Plays:
None
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