The 2015 Quarterback Class Through the Eyes of the Filter

In anticipation of the 2015 NFL season, I've decided to look at the quarterbacks that passed and failed the filter that I use to evaluate prospects. If you are unfamiliar with the filter I use, you can read about it right here. Basically, it is a set of benchmarks that significantly increase the chances of picking a franchise quarterback in the draft. I wasn't able to do individual prospect breakdowns this year (school comes first), but I will briefly look through the class in this post.

These are the QBs that passed through the filter:

Name	Age	Comp% Index	Y/A Index	Att/TD Index	Att/INT Index	WR DR
Marcus Mariota	21	1.704	2.743	1.067	3.261	0.350
Brett Hundley	21	1.864	0.741	0.393	1.697	0.576

That's it. To be fair, only 6 QBs were actually drafted. Both guys look to be solid bets to be startable guys, sooner or later. Marcus and Brett have played very well in the preseason, keeping up the momentum they had in college. To a certain degree, they are even similar 'types' of quarterbacks, both being safe, accurate throwers with a lower Att/TD index than Att/INT index combined with a solid Comp% index. The big difference between them is that Marcus has a massive advantage with yards per attempt. This could be a function of the talent around them, but it's more likely that Marcus is just a better passer. Justifiably, Marcus went number 2 overall, while Hundley slipped into the 5 round.

These are the QBs that failed, for one reason or another:

Name	Age	Comp% Index	Y/A Index	Att/TD Index	Att/INT Index	WR DR
Jameis Winston	20	1.104	0.427	0.313	-0.801	0.590
Garrett Grayson	23	0.904	2.242	0.830	0.820	0.919
Sean Mannion	22	0.504	-0.260	-0.762	0.660	0.374
Bryce Petty	23	0.664	1.742	0.678	0.875	0.524
Trevor Siemian	22	-0.316	-1.662	-3.169	-0.340	0.406

The big name on the list is Jameis Winston. Jameis passes everything except massively missing Att/INT index. If I had to project the kind of QB that Jameis will be, I'd say something like Eli Manning. Enough to lift a team to the playoffs, but throws a bunch of picks and can lose a game all by himself. I'd expect a rocky freshman year in the NFC south.