UFC 213 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Amanda Nunes (55.53%) vs Valentina Shevchenko (44.47%)

55.53%	Overall	44.47%
19.80%	KO/TKO	16.31%
16.75%	Sub	5.88%
18.98%	Decision	22.28%

Plays:

1.53% on Fight GTD at +170

Yoel Romero (26.75%) vs Robert Whittaker (73.25%)

26.75%	Overall	73.25%
9.34%	KO/TKO	43.96%
2.40%	Sub	3.47%
15.01%	Decision	25.82%

Plays:
10.48% on Whittaker at -130

Daniel Omielanczuk (9.22%) vs Curtis Blaydes (90.78%)

9.22%	Overall	90.78%
1.30%	KO/TKO	2.29%
2.89%	Sub	2.61%
5.03%	Decision	85.88%

Plays:

17.19*** on Fight GTD at +155 (Projected odds lowered in order to reduce dependence on single bet)

Fabricio Werdum (46.60%) vs Alistair Overeem (53.40%)

46.60%	Overall	53.40%
17.27%	KO/TKO	22.01%
4.87%	Sub	3.93%
24.47%	Decision	27.47%

Plays:
None

Anthony Pettis (65.94%) vs Jim Miller (34.06%)

65.94%	Overall	34.06%
16.67%	KO/TKO	8.58%
10.57%	Sub	7.85%
38.70%	Decision	17.64%

Plays:
None

Travis Browne (69.70%) vs Aleksei Oleinik (30.30%)

69.70%	Overall	30.30%
43.01%	KO/TKO	8.58%
8.14%	Sub	10.38%
18.56%	Decision	5.52%

Plays:
1.30% on Fight GTD at +450

Douglas Silva (22.73%) vs Rob Font (77.27%)

22.73%	Overall	77.27%
3.28%	KO/TKO	11.30%
1.53%	Sub	5.82%
17.92%	Decision	60.15%

Plays:
9.06% on Font by Dec at +159

UFC Fight Night Chiesa vs Lee Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Michael Chiesa (33.73%) vs Kevin Lee (66.27%)

33.73%	Overall	66.27%
10.11%	KO/TKO	23.19%
13.88%	Sub	20.78%
9.74%	Decision	22.30%

Plays:

2.95% on Lee at -135

Tim Boetsch (34.44%) vs Johny Hendricks (65.56%)

34.44%	Overall	65.56%
15.49%	KO/TKO	19.59%
5.26%	Sub	5.64%
13.70%	Decision	40.33%

Plays:

None

Tim Means (62.67%) vs Alex Garcia (37.33%)

62.67%	Overall	37.33%
15.31%	KO/TKO	4.12%
6.84%	Sub	1.81%
40.53%	Decision	31.40%

Plays:

16.56% on Fight GTD at +225

BJ Penn (39.22%) vs Dennis Siver (60.78%)

39.22%	Overall	60.78%
18.73%	KO/TKO	32.53%
3.08%	Sub	2.82%
17.41%	Decision	25.43%

Plays:

1.21% on Siver by KO at +295

Clay Guida (28.97%) vs Erik Koch (71.03%)

28.97%	Overall	71.03%
11.77%	KO/TKO	36.93%
3.68%	Sub	19.88%
13.53%	Decision	14.22%

Plays:

9.06% on Fight ITD at +100

Carla Esparza (47.48%) vs Maryna Moroz (52.52%)

47.48%	Overall	52.52%
2.31%	KO/TKO	8.04%
6.36%	Sub	8.90%
38.82%	Decision	35.58%

Plays:

4.82% on Moroz at +210

Tony Martin (57.24%) vs Johnny Case (42.76%)

57.24%	Overall	42.76%
12.67%	KO/TKO	8.94%
19.44%	Sub	5.84%
25.13%	Decision	27.98%

Plays:

None

UFC Fight Night Holm vs Correia Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Holly Holm (74.78%) vs Bethe Correia (25.22%)

74.78%	Overall	25.22%
25.20%	KO/TKO	2.72%
3.35%	Sub	2.79%
46.23%	Decision	19.71%

Plays:

5.72% on Correia at +425

Andrei Arlovski (23.59%) vs Marcin Tybura (76.41%)

23.59%	Overall	76.41%
4.32%	KO/TKO	39.88%
2.16%	Sub	4.69%
17.12%	Decision	31.84%

Plays:

17.11% on Tybura at -240

Tarec Saffiedine (35.23%) vs Rafael Dos Anjos (64.77%)

35.23%	Overall	64.77%
3.76%	KO/TKO	8.58%
0.39%	Sub	6.95%
31.08%	Decision	49.24%

Plays:

4.77% on Saffiedine at +225 

Takanori Gomi (22.58%) vs Jon Tuck (77.42%)

22.58%	Overall	77.42%
9.87%	KO/TKO	23.79%
3.08%	Sub	18.38%
9.64%	Decision	35.24%

Plays:

None

Justin Scoggins (82.20%) vs Ulka Sasaki (17.80%)

82.20%	Overall	17.80%
12.60%	KO/TKO	0.75%
18.48%	Sub	13.47%
51.11%	Decision	3.59%

Plays:

None