UFC Fight Night Werdum vs Tybura Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Fabricio Werdum (67.12%) vs Marcin Tybura (32.88%)

67.12%	Overall	32.88%
13.65%	KO	16.95%
14.98%	Sub	0.08%
38.49%	Decision	15.85%

Plays:

11.39% on Fight GTD at +150

Tim Means (57.39%) vs Belal Muhammad (42.61%)

57.39%	Overall	42.61%
17.44%	KO	5.81%
11.26%	Sub	1.91%
28.69%	Decision	34.89%

Plays:
4.36% on Muhammad at +180

Jake Matthews (63.04%) vs Bojan Velickovic (36.96%)

63.04%	Overall	36.96%
8.31%	KO	4.64%
13.40%	Sub	8.64%
41.33%	Decision	23.69%

Plays:

5.49% on Matthews at -135

Elias Theodorou (73.92%) vs Dan Kelly (26.08%)

73.92%	Overall	26.08%
4.37%	KO	7.82%
1.34%	Sub	0.21%
68.21%	Decision	18.05%

Plays:

14.44% on Theodorou by decision at -125

Nik Lentz (20.20%) vs Will Brooks (79.80%)

20.20%	Overall	79.80%
9.21%	KO	8.36%
0.72%	Sub	6.51%
10.27%	Decision	64.93%

Plays:

5.94% on Brooks by decision at -145

UFC Fight Night Poirier vs Pettis Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*
*Note: Start of new prop bet model*

Dustin Poirier (56.76%) vs Anthony Pettis (43.24%)

56.76%	Overall	43.24%
22.10%	KO	10.50%
9.52%	Sub	20.22%
25.14%	Decision	12.52%

Plays:

.5.70% on Poirier at -105

Matt Brown (67.33%) vs Diego Sanchez (32.67%)

67.33%	Overall	32.67%
39.20%	KO	10.15%
0.97%	Sub	2.92%
27.17%	Decision	19.59%

Plays:
5.47% on Sanchez at +310

Nate Marquardt (31.19%) vs Cezar Ferreira (68.81%)

31.19%	Overall	68.81%
19.86%	KO	25.56%
0.92%	Sub	8.48%
10.40%	Decision	34.78%

Plays:

3.62% on Marquardt by KO/TKO at +650

Raphael Assuncao (66.40%) vs Matthew Lopez (33.60%)

66.40%	Overall	33.60%
12.28%	KO	18.10%
6.16%	Sub	3.16%
47.96%	Decision	12.34%

Plays:

5.97% on Lopez at +305

Joe Lauzon (50.30%) vs Clay Guida (49.70%)

50.30%	Overall	49.70%
17.33%	KO	9.82%
9.99%	Sub	1.09%
22.98%	Decision	38.79%

Plays:

1.17% on Lauzon by KO/TKO at +560

Angela Hill (69.01%) vs Nina Ansaroff (30.99%)

69.01%	Overall	30.99%
22.64%	KO	9.14%
0.40%	Sub	3.87%
45.97%	Decision	17.97%

Plays:

5.88% on Hill at -185

Court McGee (28.30%) vs Sean Strickland (71.70%)

28.30%	Overall	71.70%
10.74%	KO	8.36%
3.37%	Sub	3.04%
14.19%	Decision	60.30%

Plays:

10.88% on Fight GTD at -215

UFC 217 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Michael Bisping (54.23%) vs Georges St. Pierre (45.77%)

54.23%	Overall	45.77%
25.58%	KO	18.41%
2.83%	Sub	2.07%
25.82%	Decision	25.29%

Plays:

2.08% on Bisping at -105

Cody Garbrandt (60.40%) vs TJ Dillashaw (39.60%)

60.40%	Overall	39.60%
27.75%	KO	13.83%
4.50%	Sub	3.55%
28.15%	Decision	22.22%

Plays:

1.42% on Dillashaw by KO/TKO at +905

Joanna Jedrzejcyk (78.41%) vs Rose Namajunas (21.59%)

78.41%	Overall	21.59%
15.71%	KO	3.23%
8.38%	Sub	3.44%
54.31%	Decision	14.92%

Plays:
2.50% on Namajunas at +550

Stephen Thompson (57.91%) vs Jorge Masvidal (42.09%) 

57.91%	Overall	42.09%
22.68%	KO	17.54%
5.22%	Sub	2.61%
30.01%	Decision	21.93%

Plays:

1.98% on Masvidal at +160

James Vick (42.14%) vs Joe Duffy (57.86%)

42.14%	Overall	57.86%
14.78%	KO	18.93%
7.91%	Sub	15.46%
19.45%	Decision	23.47%

Plays:
2.27% on Vick by KO/TKO at +1055

Randy Brown (53.71%) vs Mickey Gall (46.29%) 

53.71%	Overall	46.29%
29.71%	KO	3.35%
15.61%	Sub	42.88%
8.40%	Decision	0.06%

Plays:

1.70% on Brown at -105

Aleksei Oleinik (17.91%) vs Curtis Blaydes (82.09%) 

17.91%	Overall	82.09%
1.89%	KO	6.87%
9.54%	Sub	3.04%
6.47%	Decision	72.18%

Plays:

30.80% on Over 1 1/2 rounds at -137

Ovince Saint Preux (49.98%) vs Corey Anderson (50.02%)

49.98%	Overall	50.02%
10.89%	KO	7.45%
13.62%	Sub	3.31%
25.50%	Decision	39.26%

Plays:

3.52% on Anderson at +125