Saturday, February 17, 2018

UFC Fight Night Cerrone vs Medeiros Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Donald Cerrone (46.20%) vs Yancy Medeiros (53.80%)

 46.20%
Overall
53.80% 
 19.51%
KO
32.96% 
 20.41%
Sub
4.17% 
 6.28%
Decision
16.67% 


Plays:
2.15% on Medeiros by KO/TKO at +235


Derrick Lewis (41.64%) vs Marcin Tybura (58.36%)

 41.64%
Overall
58.36% 
 17.60%
KO
 13.50%
 1.10%
Sub
11.83%
 22.94%
Decision
33.03%


Plays:
11.05% on Fight GTD at +120

James Vick (75.47%) vs Fransisco Trinaldo (24.53%)

 75.47%
Overall
24.53%
 15.18%
KO
6.28%
 12.70%
Sub
0.40%
 47.59%
Decision
17.86%


Plays:
9.44% on Vick by decision at +171
Sage Northcutt (69.64%) vs Thibault Gouti (30.36%)

 69.64%
Overall
30.36%
 18.37%
KO
4.91%
 24.87%
Sub
8.36%
 26.40%
Decision
17.08%


Plays:
4.70% on Fight GTD at +165

Joshua Burkman (21.53%) vs Alex Morono (78.47%)

 21.53%
Overall
78.47%
 3.70%
KO
22.49%
 1.01%
Sub
14.48%
 16.81%
Decision
41.51%


Plays:
11.88% on Fight GTD at +110

Friday, February 9, 2018

UFC 221 Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Yoel Romero (32.94%) vs Luke Rockhold (67.06%)

 32.94%
Overall
67.06% 
 25.32%
KO
29.44% 
 0.01%
Sub
14.70% 
 7.61%
Decision
22.92% 

Plays:
0.82% on Rockhold at -155

Mark Hunt (20.86%) vs Curtis Blaydes (79.14%)

 20.86%
Overall
79.14% 
 10.21%
KO
7.39% 
 0.07%
Sub
1.78% 
 10.58%
Decision
69.97% 

Plays:
4.71% on Blaydes by decision at +170

Jake Matthews (46.40%) vs Li Jingliang (53.60%)

 46.40%
Overall
53.60% 
 4.74%
KO
8.00% 
 9.16%
Sub
13.06% 
 32.50%
Decision
32.55% 

Plays:
0.38% on Matthews at +140
Damien Brown (41.18%) vs Dong Hyun Kim (58.82%)

 41.18%
Overall
 58.82%
 5.17%
KO
4.59% 
 4.70%
Sub
13.31% 
 31.32%
Decision
40.92% 

Plays:
2.15% on Fight GTD at -140

Alexander Volkanovski (62.13%) vs Jeremy Kennedy (37.87%)

 62.13%
Overall
37.87% 
 25.81%
KO
7.79% 
 5.42%
Sub
2.05% 
 30.90%
Decision
28.04% 

Plays:
0.23% on Kennedy at +190

Jussier Formiga (45.75%) vs Ben Nguyen (54.25%)

 45.75%
Overall
54.25% 
 10.20%
KO
33.65% 
 8.78%
Sub
1.31% 
 26.77%
Decision
19.28% 

Plays:
0.74% on Nguyen by KO/TKO at +350

Ross Pearson (61.53%) vs Mizuto Hirota (38.47%)

 61.53%
Overall
38.47% 
 13.06%
KO
7.15% 
 2.96%
Sub
0.56% 
 45.52%
Decision
30.76% 

 Plays:
0.88% on Fight GTD at -250

Teruto Ishihara (49.98%) vs Jose Quinonez (50.02%)

 49.98%
Overall
50.02% 
 2.50%
KO
2.63% 
 1.22%
Sub
3.67% 
 46.26%
Decision
43.72% 

 Plays:
12.18% on Fight GTD at -160

Thursday, February 1, 2018

UFC Fight Night Machida vs Anders Fight Projections

*Disclaimer: Betting advice is just for fun, I am not responsible for any bets placed*
*All bet amounts are based on percent of bankroll, per the Kelly criterion*

Thiago Santos (63.48%) vs Anthony Smith (36.52%)

 63.48%
Overall
36.52% 
 36.29%
KO
11.82% 
 8.06%
Sub
15.97% 
 19.13%
Decision
8.74% 

Plays:
3.78% on Smith at +250

Sergio Moraes (36.07%) vs Tim Means (63.93%)

 36.07%
Overall
63.93% 
 8.93%
KO
14.12% 
 6.38%
Sub
1.36% 
 20.76%
Decision
48.45% 

Plays:
12.43% on Fight GTD at -130

Douglas Silva (32.62%) vs Marlon Vera (67.38%)

 32.62%
Overall
67.38% 
 9.51%
KO
14.63
 2.34%
Sub
23.35% 
 20.77%
Decision
29.40% 

Plays:
7.58% on Vera at -145

Iuri Alcantara (26.66%) vs Joe Soto (73.34%)

 26.66%
Overall
73.34% 
 3.99%
KO
36.69% 
 5.17%
Sub
8.10% 
 17.51%
Decision
28.54% 

Plays:
20.13% on Soto at -125